San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-141) St. Louis (+105)

J.A. Happ and the St. Louis Cardinals (77-69, 2nd in NL Central) host the San Diego Padres (76-71, 3rd in NL West) at Busch Stadium on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Padres coming in at -141 and the Cardinals are at +105. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Jake Arrieta and J.A. Happ.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB. They have earned a total of 665 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Padres have accounted for 241 doubles as a team and have smacked 163 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 633 RBI's as well as 1,174 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is at .241. San Diego has a slugging rate of .399 and have struck out 1,209 times, while drawing a walk on 542 occasions.

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Padres pitchers have given up 183 long balls and 617 runs in total (12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 461 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.12 as a squad on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 3.01 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. The Padres have an ERA of 3.92 so far this year (11th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,388 hitters.

The Padres relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.1% and has entered the game in 150 save situations. The relievers have inherited 153 base runners over the course of the season and 33.3% of those runners crossed home plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 106 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 562 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have notched 86 holds for the year (5th in the league). They have compiled 41 saves on the year and have not converted 21 of their 62 save chances.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated 3,903 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,291 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball, and they have turned 1,017 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 11,709 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in professional baseball.

Arrieta has taken the mound for 1,612 innings and has earned 1,433 K's so far in his career. Arrieta (115-92 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.99 while going up against 6,749 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.96 (709 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.251. He has allowed 1,447 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 570 walks.

The St. Louis Cardinals have recorded an on-base percentage of .312 as well as a batting average of .241 this year. They have been rung up on 1,210 occasions (24th in the league) and have 1,165 base hits. St. Louis has compiled 170 HRs on the campaign to go along with 596 RBIs. The Cardinals hold a slugging % of .402 and they tally 4.23 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have put up 233 two-baggers, while walking 436 times as well as earning 617 runs.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.307 in addition to having a FIP of 4.32 as a team for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 1.98 (1,103 strikeouts vs 558 free passes). They are sitting at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,114. They have relinquished 136 home runs and they surrender 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 616 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.02 (571 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 157 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 94 holds and also 19 blown saves. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 61 save opportunities and they have earned 42 saves. Their relievers have come in 143 times in high leverage situations in addition to 156 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.7% out of their 259 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 68.9%, and they have sent 503 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). The Cardinals have accrued 1,367 assists, 81 errors and have 3,837 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 11,511 innings on the field, the Cardinals hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (3rd in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Happ has surrendered 1,807 base knocks and he has 1,646 strikeouts in 1,879 innings. He has given up 862 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.314 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and he has faced 7,987 hitters during his career. Happ (132-100 mark in his career) holds a 4.13 earned run average and has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-141)

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