San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 3, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-192) Philadelphia (+145)

Zach Eflin and the Philadelphia Phillies (37-41, 4th in NL East) host the San Diego Padres (49-34, 3rd in NL West) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Padres open this matchup at -192 while the Phillies are coming in at +145. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Yu Darvish and Zach Eflin.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 12th in the league. They have accounted for 381 runs while holding a team OBP of .324. The Padres have hit 119 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 100 baseballs out of the park. They have 361 runs batted in in addition to 653 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .240. San Diego is slugging .402 and have struck out 691 times, while drawing a walk on 322 occasions.

The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.26 for the year (3rd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 824 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.19 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.17. Padres pitchers have given up 90 home runs in addition to 302 runs in total (6th in the league). They have walked 258 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.75 as a squad on the season.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 51 times and also have had 81 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 54 holds over the course of the season (4th in the league). The Padres relievers have a save rate of 65.9% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. They have recorded 29 saves on the year and have blown 15 of 44 save chances. The relievers have inherited 70 base runners over the course of the season and 24.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have sent 307 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The San Diego Padres have a tally of 2,211 putouts so far this season, as well as 704 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which is 18th in baseball, and they have turned 574 double plays. The Padres have transformed 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,633 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in the majors.

Darvish has thrown 1,223 innings and has racked up 1,507 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.39 (460 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.142. He has allowed 976 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 421 walks. Darvish (78-58 career record) has a FIP of 3.40 and he has gone up against 5,029 batters during his time in the majors.

Philadelphia has knocked in 82 home runs so far this year as well as 320 RBIs. They have hit 120 two-baggers, while walking 258 times and putting up 333 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies hold an OBP of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .238 over the course of the season. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .387 and they are scoring 4.27 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 746 instances (10th in MLB) and have 614 base hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.289 and have a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 639. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 357 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.27 (323 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 (727 strikeouts against 238 walks). They have surrendered 98 homers and they concede 4.72 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

With 72 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 31 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have earned 18 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 94 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 42.3% out of their 104 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 29th in baseball with a save rate of 46.2%, and they have sent 243 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

Out of their 6,126 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 678 assists, 49 errors and have accumulated 2,042 putouts this year.

Eflin (31-39 career win-loss record) holds a 4.56 earned run average and has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.39 and he has gone up against 2,427 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 288 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.320 and a FIP of 4.5. During his pro baseball career, Eflin has allowed 610 hits while he has accumulated 475 K's in 568 frames.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+145) and under 8.5 runs

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