San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, June 12, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-147) New York (+115)

Citi Field is the venue where Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (30-24, 1st in NL East) will play the San Diego Padres (37-27, 3rd in NL West) on Saturday. The Padres open this contest at -147 while the Mets are coming in at +115. The O/U is set at 7. The starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Marcus Stroman.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.5 runs/g, which ranks them 13th in MLB. They have notched a total of 287 runs scored and have an OBP of .318. The Padres have recorded 84 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 63 balls out of the park. They have accrued 269 runs batted in and 493 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is .232. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .371 and have struck out 531 times, while drawing a walk on 252 occasions.

The Padres have a team ERA of 2.96 so far this season (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 662 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.34 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.11. Padres pitchers have conceded 73 home runs and 220 runs (3rd in MLB). They have walked 198 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a unit this season.

The Padres have dispatched 233 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 51 base runners so far this season and 27.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 22 saves this year and have blown 10 of their 32 save opportunities. The Padres bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 68.8% and has come into the game in 70 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 37 holds on the campaign (8th in baseball). Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 39 times as well as having 61 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,178 innings, which has them ranked 5th in baseball. The San Diego Padres have a tally of 1,726 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 541 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which puts them in 27th in pro baseball, and have earned 441 double plays.

Musgrove (33-43 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.79 and he has faced 2,348 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 532 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 135 free passes. His earned run average is 4.10 (256 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.186. Musgrove has pitched in 562 innings and has 554 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

New York has tallied 56 long balls for the season as well as 200 RBIs. They have tallied 72 two-baggers, while getting a free base 172 times as well as putting up 209 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a batting average of .236 this season. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .380 and they earn 3.87 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have struck out on 465 occasions (29th in MLB) and have tallied 412 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.146 and have a FIP of 3.12 as a pitching staff for the season. They have a ranking of 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 376. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 192 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.15 (161 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.36 (507 strikeouts against 151 walks). They have surrendered 38 dingers and they concede 3.76 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.4% of 65 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 60 times in high leverage situations and on 41 occasions with base runners. With 49 save situations, the Mets have 25 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 58.3%, and they have dispatched 169 relievers to the mound this year. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 24 save chances and they have walked away with 14 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 41 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (10th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 448 assists, 30 errors and have a total of 1,380 putouts so far this year. Out of their 4,140 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (16th in baseball).

Stroman (56-51 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.66 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and he has gone up against 3,835 opposing batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 374 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.275 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. In his MLB career, Stroman has surrendered 912 hits while totaling 754 K's in 920 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+115)

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