San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-167) Miami (+130)

Marlins Park is the venue where Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (41-56, 5th in NL East) will play the San Diego Padres (57-42, 3rd in NL West) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Padres coming in at -167 and the Marlins are at +130. The O/U is set at 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Yu Darvish and Trevor Rogers.

The Padres have hit 154 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 119 balls out of the park. San Diego has a slugging % of .410 and have been called out on strikes 818 times, while drawing a walk on 390 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 9th in MLB. They have earned 453 RBI's and 805 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is at .246. They have 476 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .330.

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The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 3.47 on the season (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 934 hitters. They have walked 310 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a team so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.21. Padres pitchers have given up 110 long balls in addition to 379 runs in total (6th in the league).

Padres relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 60 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 64 holds for the season (2nd in the league). The Padres bullpen have earned a save percentage of 66.0% and stepped onto the hill in 116 save situations. They have tallied 33 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 17 of their 50 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 runners for the season and 22.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have sent 369 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Padres have transformed 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of 7,890 innings on the diamond, ranking them 12th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned 2,630 putouts on the year, in addition to 870 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which ranks 26th in the majors, and they have twisted 682 double plays.

Darvish has taken the mound for 1,237 innings and has earned 1,520 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.43 (472 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.146. He has allowed 994 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) with 424 free passes. Darvish (78-60 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.42 while going up against 5,095 batters in the major leagues.

Miami is sitting with 94 long balls on the campaign and 357 RBIs. They have recorded 136 doubles, while taking a walk 283 times and putting up 377 runs. The Miami Marlins have recorded a team OBP of .300 in addition to a batting average of .232 on the season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .371 and they score 3.89 runs per outing (29th in baseball). They have been rung up on 939 occasions (4th in baseball) and have totaled 747 base knocks.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 380 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.56 (336 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 82 homers and they surrender 4.03 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.220 with a FIP of 3.73 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.71 (823 strikeouts against 304 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 732.

Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 36 save chances and they have tallied 17 saves. They are ranked 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 47.2%, and they have sent 353 relievers to the mound this year. Their relievers have come in 109 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.9% of 95 inherited base runners. With 79 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 43 holds and 19 blown saves.

In 7,647 innings played, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (14th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 92 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 858 assists, 70 errors and have notched a total of 2,549 putouts this year.

During his career, Rogers has surrendered 111 base hits while tallying 164 strikeouts in 134 innings pitched. Rogers (8-8 record in his career) holds a 3.15 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 47 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.28 and he has faced 560 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-167)

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