San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 9/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+145) Los Angeles (-192)

Dodger Stadium is the venue where Tony Gonsolin and the Los Angeles Dodgers (101-56, 2nd in NL West) will take on the San Diego Padres (78-79, 3rd in NL West) on Thursday. The Padres open this game at +145 while the Dodgers are priced at -192. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Vince Velasquez and Tony Gonsolin.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.5 runs per contest, which has them at 14th in the league. They have earned a total of 710 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322. The Padres have accumulated 261 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 176 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 677 RBI's in addition to 1,260 hits so far this season, while their batting average is .242. San Diego is slugging .401 and have struck out 1,278 times, while drawing a walk on 575 occasions.

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Padres pitchers have relinquished 191 home runs and 673 total runs (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 501 batters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 4.00 this year (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,477 hitters.

Padres bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 119 times as well as having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 90 holds over the course of the season (7th in baseball). The Padres relievers have earned a save percentage of 61.8% and has entered the game in 160 save situations. They have accumulated 42 saves this season and have missed out on 26 out of their 68 save chances. The relievers have inherited 168 base runners on the campaign with 33.9% of them earned a run for their team. The Padres have sent 604 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The San Diego Padres have earned a total of 4,164 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,366 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 13th in baseball, and they have twisted 1,087 double plays. The Padres have transformed 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,492 innings, which has them ranked 15th in professional baseball.

Velasquez has taken the hill for 646 frames and is sitting with 709 punch outs during his career. Velasquez (31-43 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.50 while he has gone up against 2,795 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.93 (354 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.391. He has given up 632 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 267 walks.

Los Angeles has tallied 218 home runs on the season and 755 RBIs. They have tallied 240 two-baggers, while taking a walk 598 times and racking up 785 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers hold an on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .242 over the course of the season. The Dodgers hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they average 5.00 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,374 instances (13th in the league) and have tallied 1,278 hits.

The Dodgers have a WHIP of 1.095 and have a FIP of 3.54 as a squad on the season. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,067. The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 537 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 2.96 (463 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.26 (1,547 strikeouts vs 474 free passes). They have surrendered 156 homers and they allow 3.43 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Sitting with 193 save situations, the Dodgers have 111 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 80 save chances and they have come away with 53 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 198 times in high leverage situations in addition to 161 occasions with runners on. Los Angeles relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 21.0% of 224 inherited base runners. They sit at 5th in the league with a save rate of 66.3%, and they have sent 578 relievers to the hill this season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have twisted 91 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have accrued 1,264 assists, 85 errors and have accounted for 4,221 putouts for the season. In 12,663 innings on the field, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (1st in professional baseball).

Gonsolin (10-5 career win-loss record) holds a 2.75 ERA while allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 and he has gone up against 558 hitters in his career. He has conceded 42 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.082 and a FIP of 3.5. During his pro baseball career, Gonsolin has allowed 95 base knocks while accumulating 143 K's in 137 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-192)

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