San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+135) Los Angeles (-185)

Yu Darvish and the San Diego Padres (78-78, 3rd in NL West) head to Dodger Stadium on Tuesday where they'll take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (100-56, 2nd in NL West). The Padres open this game at +135 while the Dodgers are coming in at -185. The over/under opens at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Yu Darvish and Walker Buehler.

San Diego has a slugging percentage of .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,269 times, while being walked on 572 occasions. They have 676 runs batted in as well as 1,256 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .242. The Padres have tallied 260 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 175 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 709 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. As a team, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in MLB.

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Padres pitchers have allowed 191 home runs and 671 runs in total (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 492 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.09 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Padres have compiled a team ERA of 4.01 this year (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,467 batters.

The Padres relievers have recorded a save rate of 61.8% and has come into the game in 160 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 runners for the year with 34.3% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 118 times in addition to having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 601 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have a total of 90 holds this year (7th in the league). They have accumulated 42 saves for the season and have blown 26 of 68 save chances.

The Padres have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,420 innings on the field, which ranks them 15th in the majors. The San Diego Padres have a tally of 4,140 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,358 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 10th in professional baseball, and have 1,081 double plays.

Darvish has taken the mound for 1,289 innings and is sitting with 1,585 K's thus far in his career. Darvish (79-66 career mark) has a FIP of 3.49 while he has faced 5,312 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.56 (510 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.148. He has given up 1,042 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 438 free passes.

Los Angeles has knocked in 218 home runs so far this season to go along with 753 runs batted in. They have hit 238 two-baggers, while taking a walk 589 times as well as scoring 783 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a team on-base percentage of .328 as well as a team batting average of .242 on the season. The Dodgers have a slugging percentage of .421 and they tally 5.02 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have struck out on 1,364 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned 1,272 base hits.

The Dodgers have a WHIP of 1.097 in addition to having a FIP of 3.54 as a squad this season. They rank 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,063. The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 536 runs this season while having a team ERA of 2.97 (462 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.27 (1,538 strikeouts against 471 walks). They have relinquished 155 homers and they yield 3.45 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 79 save chances and they have earned 52 saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 65.8%, and they have sent 576 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 197 times in high leverage situations and on 161 occasions with runners on. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 21.0% of 224 inherited runners. Sitting with 191 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 110 holds and 27 blown saves.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 89 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have racked up 1,253 assists, 85 errors and have 4,194 putouts so far this year. In their 12,582 innings on the field, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in the majors).

During his MLB career, Buehler has allowed 426 hits and he has 616 strikeouts in 561 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 184 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.012 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.34 and he has faced 2,240 batters during his MLB career. Buehler (38-13 career mark) has earned a 2.95 earned run average and has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-185)

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