San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 9/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+145) Los Angeles (-192)

Dodger Stadium is the site where Walker Buehler and the Los Angeles Dodgers (88-53, 2nd in NL West) will play the San Diego Padres (74-65, 3rd in NL West) on Saturday. The Dodgers open this game at -192 while the Padres are coming in at +145. The total is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Chris Paddack and Walker Buehler.

San Diego owns a slugging percentage of .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,146 times, while drawing a walk on 526 occasions. They have 609 RBI's as well as 1,112 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .242. The Padres have hit 220 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 160 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 641 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 3.78 this year (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,325 hitters. They have walked 429 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a squad so far this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have relinquished 165 long balls and 568 runs in total (9th in baseball).

Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 97 times as well as having 129 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 84 holds so far this season (4th in MLB). The Padres relief pitchers have a save rate of 66.1% and has come into the game in 148 save situations. They have recorded 41 saves so far this season and have not converted 21 of their 62 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 139 runners on the campaign and 30.9% of those players crossed the plate. The Padres have dispatched 528 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Padres have transformed 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,115 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned 3,705 putouts this season, as well as 1,229 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 10th in MLB, and have earned 959 double plays.

Paddack has taken the ball for 303 innings and has earned 306 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.15 (140 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.127. He has surrendered 279 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 63 walks. Paddack (20-18 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.11 while he has faced 1,254 batters in the major leagues.

The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .419 and they are scoring 5.03 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have hit 216 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times as well as putting up 709 runs. Los Angeles has accumulated 197 HRs for the season as well as 681 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,257 occasions (11th in MLB) and have totaled 1,144 base hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers have an on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a batting average of .240 this year.

The Dodgers have a WHIP of 1.104 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.58 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 3.24 (1,401 strikeouts against 433 free passes). They are sitting at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 963. They have allowed 144 homers and they relinquish 3.47 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 487 runs for the season while having an ERA of 2.98 (419 earned runs relinquished).

Los Angeles has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 71 save chances and they have tallied 44 saves. They are currently ranked 13th in baseball holding a save rate of 62.0%, and they have dispatched 521 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 182 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with base runners. Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score rate of 22.0% out of 205 inherited runners. With 166 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 93 holds in addition to 27 blown saves.

In their 11,376 innings played, the Dodgers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 79 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (18th in baseball). The Dodgers have accrued 1,142 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 3,792 putouts for the season.

Buehler (37-12 career record) has a 2.88 earned run average while allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.38 and he has gone up against 2,169 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 174 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.001 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his MLB career, Buehler has allowed 407 base knocks while accumulating 604 K's in 544 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-192)

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