San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-200) Cincinnati (+155)

Vladimir Gutierrez and the Cincinnati Reds (39-38, 3rd in NL Central) host the San Diego Padres (47-33, 3rd in NL West) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The odds on this contest have the Padres coming in at -200 and the Reds are at +155. The O/U is set at 10. The starting pitchers will be Joe Musgrove and Vladimir Gutierrez.

The Padres have accumulated 116 two-baggers as a team and have hit 95 balls out of the park. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .399 and have been called out on strikes 666 times, while taking a walk on 308 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 12th in MLB. They have recorded 346 runs batted in as well as 627 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .238. They have racked up 365 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322.

The Padres have an ERA of 3.19 so far this year (2nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 800 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.27 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.15. Padres pitchers have allowed 86 home runs in addition to 288 total runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 245 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.68 as a squad on the season.

The Padres relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 65.9% and has come into the game in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 67 base runners on the season with 25.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 50 times and also have had 73 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 293 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 49 holds on the year (7th in baseball). They have recorded 27 saves so far this season and have blown 14 of 41 chances to save the game.

The San Diego Padres have accounted for 2,143 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 678 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which ranks 20th in professional baseball, and they have turned 553 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,429 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 10th in professional baseball.

Musgrove has thrown 581 innings and has tallied 568 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.02 (260 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.174. He has surrendered 542 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 141 walks. Musgrove (33-44 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.78 while he has gone up against 2,422 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .249 for the season. They have been rung up on 674 occasions (20th in MLB) and have earned 649 hits. Cincinnati has accounted for 102 home runs so far this season and 367 RBIs. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they are recording 4.99 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have 132 two-baggers, while getting a free base 266 times and putting up 384 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.367 and have a FIP of 4.35 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.38 (758 strikeouts vs 318 walks). They are sitting at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 620. They have conceded 99 HR's and they allow 5.06 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 386 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.66 (355 earned runs conceded).

Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.8% out of their 122 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 80 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Reds have compiled 28 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 276 relievers to the hill so far this year. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have recorded 19 saves.

In 6,180 innings played, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (19th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 45 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (16th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 661 assists, 46 errors and have earned 2,060 putouts during this campaign.

Gutierrez (3-2 career record) has earned a 3.97 ERA and has given up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.69 and he has faced 148 batters so far in his career. He has allowed 15 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.324 and a FIP of 5.0. So far in his MLB career, Gutierrez has allowed 29 hits while tallying 27 punch outs in 34 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+155)

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