Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, July 11, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Chase De Jong and the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-54, 5th in NL Central) are headed to Citi Field on Sunday where they'll take on the New York Mets (45-38, 1st in NL East).

The Pirates have tallied 131 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 67 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .357 and have struck out 705 times, while being walked on 271 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.5 runs/g, which has them sitting at 30th in baseball. They have earned 284 RBI's and 656 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is at .231. They have notched a total of 301 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .303.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 101 home runs in addition to 417 runs in total (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 309 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.47 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 4.78 so far this season (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 701 batters.

The Pirates bullpen have earned a save percentage of 70.6% and has come into the game in 52 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 114 runners on the campaign and 28.9% of those players crossed home plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 69 times in addition to having 65 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 298 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 33 holds so far this year (27th in the league). They have earned 12 saves this year and have blown 5 of their 17 save opportunities.

The Pirates have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,690 innings, which has them ranked 16th in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 2,230 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 765 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 9th in the majors, and have accumulated 610 double plays.

De Jong has taken the ball for 88 innings and is sitting with 65 strikeouts during his MLB career. De Jong (2-8 career mark) has a FIP of 5.63 while he has faced 396 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 6.34 (62 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.614. He has allowed 102 base knocks (10.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 40 free passes.

The Mets have a SLG% of .367 and they score 3.65 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have tallied 107 doubles, while getting a free base 253 times as well as scoring 303 runs. New York has compiled 80 long balls this season as well as 290 RBIs. They have struck out on 720 instances (23rd in baseball) and have tallied 596 hits. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .308 and a team batting average of .229 this year.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 300 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.36 (260 earned runs conceded). They have given up 79 home runs and they yield 3.87 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.147 with a FIP of 3.57 as a team so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.26 (776 strikeouts against 238 bases on balls). They rank 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 562.

New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 34 save chances and they have earned 23 saves. They are currently ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 252 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 84 times in high leverage situations and on 64 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.5% out of 96 inherited base runners. With 70 save situations, the Mets have accrued 35 holds and also 11 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 64 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 664 assists, 47 errors and have 2,093 putouts during this campaign. In their 6,279 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in the majors).

So far in his career, Szapucki has surrendered 7 base hits and he has 4 strikeouts in 3 innings pitched. Szapucki (7.4-9.8 career win-loss record) holds a 14.73 ERA while allowing 17.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 6 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 2.727 and being the owner of a FIP of 10.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.33 and he has gone up against 20 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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