Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+115) Miami (-156)

Marlins Park is the venue where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (62-85, 4th in NL East) will play the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-92, 5th in NL Central) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Pirates priced at +115 and the Marlins are at -156. The total is set at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Dillon Peters and Sandy Alcantara.

Pittsburgh is slugging .362 and have been called out on strikes 1,191 times, while drawing a walk on 472 occasions. They have earned 505 runs batted in as well as 1,137 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is at .235. The Pirates have hit 223 doubles as a team and have smacked 113 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 538 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .307. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are knocking in 3.7 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in the league.

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Pirates pitchers have yielded 188 long balls and 745 runs (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 541 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.67 as a squad so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.42. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 5.03 so far this season (28th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,185 hitters.

Pirates pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 106 times as well as having 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 65 holds on the season (24th in the league). The Pirates relief pitchers have a save percentage of 57.5% and has entered the game in 108 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of their 40 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 runners so far this year with 33.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Pirates have dispatched 516 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 11,397 innings on the field, which has them ranked 23rd in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 3,799 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,263 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which ranks 3rd in baseball, and they have twisted 1,028 double plays.

Peters has thrown 156 innings and has earned 121 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.35 (93 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.561. He has allowed 176 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 68 free passes. Peters (8-10 record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.44 and he has faced 706 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Miami has tallied 143 home runs so far this year to go along with 552 runs batted in. They have tallied 212 doubles, while walking 413 times as well as notching 578 runs. The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .301 as well as a team batting average of .234 so far this year. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .375 and they are recording 3.93 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,420 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have recorded 1,143 base knocks.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 620 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.87 (552 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 147 homers and they surrender 4.34 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.263 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a squad on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 (1,237 strikeouts vs 476 walks). They rank 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,147.

Sitting with 119 save situations, the Marlins have 65 holds and also 24 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 168 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.0% out of their 184 inherited base runners. They sit at 25th in the league with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 538 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Miami Marlins have turned 133 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (30th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,314 assists, 109 errors and have a total of 3,857 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 11,571 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Alcantara has conceded 399 base knocks while he has totaled 415 K's in 470 innings pitched. Alcantara (20-32 career mark) is the owner of a 3.46 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 181 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and he has faced 1,955 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-156)

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