Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-111) Miami (-111)

Bryse Wilson and the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-92, 5th in NL Central) go to Marlins Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (62-84, 4th in NL East). The Marlins open this matchup at -111 while the Pirates are priced at -111. The total is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Bryse Wilson and Edward Cabrera.

The Pirates have accounted for 221 doubles as a unit and have hit 113 balls out of the stadium. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .362 and have been called out on strikes 1,185 times, while taking a walk on 466 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 3.7 runs/g, which is 30th in baseball. They have earned 504 runs batted in in addition to 1,131 hits for the season, and their team batting average is .235. They are sitting with 536 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .307.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 5.05 so far this season (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,173 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.42. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 188 home runs and 744 total runs (26th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 539 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.70 as a team on the season.

Pirates relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 106 times and also have had 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 62 holds this year (27th in baseball). The Pirates relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 56.4% and stepped onto the hill in 104 save situations. They have recorded 22 saves this year and have blown 17 of their 39 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 base runners this season with 33.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Pirates have sent 512 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Pirates have transformed 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,316 innings, which has them sitting at 23rd in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have amassed 3,772 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,259 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 5th in the majors, and they have twisted 1,023 double plays.

Wilson has taken the ball for 109 innings and has 78 strikeouts during his career. Wilson (5-8 career record) holds a FIP of 5.48 while he has gone up against 489 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.33 (65 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.568. He has allowed 129 hits (10.6 hits per nine innings) and has 43 free passes.

The Marlins have a SLG% of .375 and they are earning 3.95 runs per game (28th in the league). They have 211 doubles, while taking a walk 411 times and racking up 577 runs. Miami has hit 143 home runs this season to go along with 551 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,408 occasions (3rd in the league) and have recorded 1,138 base hits. The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .301 and a batting average of .235 on the campaign.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.262 and have a FIP of 4.03 as a squad this season. They sit at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,141. The Miami pitching staff have given up 618 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.89 (552 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.62 (1,231 strikeouts vs 470 walks). They have allowed 147 home runs and they concede 4.36 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

With 119 save situations, the Marlins have earned 65 holds and 24 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 54 save opportunities and they have walked away with 30 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations and on 116 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 182 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 25th in baseball with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 535 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

Out of their 11,490 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 133 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,310 assists, 108 errors and have notched a total of 3,830 putouts so far this season.

Cabrera (0-1 win-loss mark in his career) has a 6.61 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.90 and he has gone up against 71 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 12 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.531 and a FIP of 8.6. Thus far in his career, Cabrera has surrendered 15 base hits while earning 9 strikeouts in 16 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-111)

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