Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+190) Cincinnati (-256)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (77-73, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-93, 5th in NL Central) on Tuesday. The Reds open this contest at -256 while the Pirates are priced at +190. The over/under opens at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Tyler Mahle.

As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 3.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 30th in MLB. They have a total of 549 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .307. The Pirates have tallied 227 doubles as a squad and have smacked 114 balls out of the park. They have 513 runs batted in as well as 1,154 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is .235. Pittsburgh is slugging .362 and have struck out 1,209 times, while being walked on 481 occasions.

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The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 5.01 this year (28th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,203 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41. Pirates pitchers have allowed 190 home runs and 754 runs in total (26th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 547 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.65 as a unit for the year.

Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 108 times in addition to having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 66 holds on the campaign (24th in the league). The Pirates relievers have compiled a save rate of 54.8% and has entered the game in 111 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves on the year and have not converted 19 of 42 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 178 base runners on the year with 34.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Pirates have sent 525 relievers to the hill this year.

The Pirates have transformed 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,559 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tally of 3,853 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,280 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,044 double plays.

Keller has taken the mound for 157 innings and has earned 166 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 5.99 (105 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.700. He has surrendered 193 hits (11.0 hits per nine innings) and has 75 free passes. Keller (6-17 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.30 and he has faced 724 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has recorded 200 long balls on the season as well as 691 RBIs. They have 269 two-baggers, while walking 504 times as well as scoring 720 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .325 as well as a batting average of .247 on the season. The Reds have a SLG% of .425 and they earn 4.80 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have struck out on 1,332 instances (11th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,238 base hits.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.345 in addition to having a FIP of 4.31 as a staff on the season. They rank 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,220. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 697 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.34 (640 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.48 (1,404 strikeouts vs 566 bases on balls). They have surrendered 189 homers and they relinquish 4.72 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Sitting with 137 save situations, the Reds have compiled 69 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 66 save chances and they have come away with 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 176 times in high leverage situations and also on 148 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 39.2% out of their 222 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in baseball with a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 526 relievers to the hill this season.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in baseball). The Reds have 1,316 assists, 86 errors and have earned 3,985 putouts during this campaign. In 11,955 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in the majors).

Mahle (25-30 career record) has a 4.30 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 2,049 opposing batters so far in his career. He has allowed 227 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.329 and a FIP of 4.4. During his career, Mahle has conceded 455 base hits while he has tallied 505 strikeouts in 474 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-256)

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