Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, September 20, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+170) Cincinnati (-238)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Vladimir Gutierrez and the Cincinnati Reds (77-73, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-93, 5th in NL Central) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates priced at +170 and the Reds are at -238. The O/U is set at 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be Mitch Keller and Vladimir Gutierrez.

The Pirates have compiled 226 doubles as a team and have smacked 113 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .362 and have been rung up 1,202 times, while being walked on 479 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 3.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 30th in MLB. They have 509 RBI's as well as 1,147 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .235. They have earned 544 runs scored and have an OBP of .308.

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The Pirates have an earned run average of 5.01 this year (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,193 batters. They have walked 542 hitters and their FIP is 4.66 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.20 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41. Pirates pitchers have allowed 189 home runs in addition to 748 runs in total (26th in MLB).

The Pirates have sent 520 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 178 runners so far this year with 34.3% of them earned a run for their team. They have 23 saves so far this season and have missed out on 17 of 40 chances to save the game. The Pirates bullpen have earned a save percentage of 57.5% and has entered the game in 109 save situations. The relievers have 66 holds on the season (23rd in the league). Pirates pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 107 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,478 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3,826 putouts this season, in addition to 1,272 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 4th in baseball, and they have turned 1,036 double plays.

Keller has taken the hill for 157 innings and is sitting with 166 K's during his MLB career. Keller (6-17 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.31 and he has faced 724 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.99 (105 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.700. He has surrendered 193 hits (11.0 hits per nine innings) and has 75 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a batting average of .247 this year. They have been rung up on 1,318 instances (11th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,230 base knocks. Cincinnati has compiled 198 long balls on the campaign to go along with 686 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .424 and they earn 4.80 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have put up 267 doubles, while taking a walk 502 times and notching 715 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.342 with a FIP of 4.29 as a staff on the year. They rank 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,209. The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 689 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.32 (633 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.49 (1,396 strikeouts vs 561 walks). They have surrendered 186 dingers and they concede 4.70 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

With 137 save situations, the Reds have earned 69 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 66 save chances and they have earned 41 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 148 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 39.2% out of 222 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 14th in the league with a save percentage of 62.1%, and they have dispatched 521 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

In their 11,874 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 115 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in the majors). The Reds have 1,305 assists, 84 errors and have accounted for 3,958 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Gutierrez has conceded 103 hits while he has tallied 82 punch outs in 108 frames. Gutierrez (9-6 career record) is the owner of a 4.25 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 51 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.333 and having a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.00 and he has faced 462 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+170)

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