Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, May 30, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-115) Tampa Bay (+105)

Ryan Yarbrough and the Tampa Bay Rays (32-20, 1st in AL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (25-26, 2nd in NL East) at Tropicana Field on Sunday. The Rays open this matchup at +105 while the Phillies are priced at -115. The over/under opens at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zach Eflin and Ryan Yarbrough.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 20th in the league. They have earned a total of 204 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .309. The Phillies have accounted for 73 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 51 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 195 RBI's as well as 390 base knocks this season, and their team batting average sits at .234. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 513 times, while drawing a walk on 166 occasions.

The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.15 on the season (18th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 472 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.13 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Phillies pitchers have allowed 64 home runs and also 221 total runs (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 151 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Phillies have sent 156 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 64 runners so far this season and 43.8% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 13 saves this season and have not converted 11 of their 24 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have earned a save rate of 54.2% and stepped onto the hill in 49 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 24 holds so far this year (18th in the league). Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 43 times and also have had 70 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 4,023 innings, ranking them 24th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 1,341 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 446 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them sitting 14th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 333 double plays.

Eflin (31-37 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.44 while he has gone up against 2,308 hitters in the majors. He has given up 575 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 136 free passes. His ERA is 4.54 (273 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.313. Eflin has taken the ball for 541 innings and has accounted for 451 punch outs during his career.

Tampa Bay has compiled 63 home runs on the season and 245 runs batted in. They have tallied 98 two-baggers, while taking a walk 202 times and racking up 259 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied a team OBP of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .232 this season. The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they are earning 4.98 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 549 occasions (1st in the league) and have tallied 412 hits.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.120 with a FIP of 3.71 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.44 (488 strikeouts against 142 bases on balls). They rank 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 389. They have allowed 59 HR's and they relinquish 3.87 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 204 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.46 (182 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 53 save situations, the Rays have recorded 30 holds and 8 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 23 save chances and they have converted 15 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 66 times in high leverage situations and on 40 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% of 49 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have dispatched 157 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 48 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in the majors). The Rays have accrued 461 assists, 20 errors and have earned a total of 1,422 putouts this year. In 4,266 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in the majors).

Yarbrough (30-19 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.99 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.57 and he has faced 1,648 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 176 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.160 and having a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Yarbrough has allowed 369 base hits while he has earned 328 K's in 397 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+105)

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