Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, August 21, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+140) San Diego (-185)

Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (67-56, 3rd in NL West) host the Philadelphia Phillies (61-60, 2nd in NL East) at Petco Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies coming in at +140 and the Padres are at -185. The total opens at 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Joe Musgrove.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in baseball. They are sitting with 539 runs while holding a team OBP of .317. The Phillies have accounted for 194 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 141 balls out of the stadium. They have 513 RBI's and 951 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average sits at .239. Philadelphia is slugging .402 and have struck out 1,072 times, while taking a walk on 421 occasions.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.44 for the year (17th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,089 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 378 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.29 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Phillies pitchers have given up 158 long balls in addition to 564 runs in total (18th in the league).

The Phillies relievers have a save rate of 52.8% and has entered the game in 106 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 156 runners this season and 43.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 103 times in addition to having 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 380 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have tallied 47 holds on the season (26th in the league). They have tallied 28 saves for the season and have not converted 25 out of their 53 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 3,166 putouts this season, in addition to 1,082 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 23rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 793 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,498 innings on the field, ranking them 25th in MLB.

Nola (65-47 career record) holds a FIP of 3.45 and he has faced 4,029 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 849 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 289 free passes. His earned run average is 3.61 (392 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.164. Nola has taken the hill for 977 innings and has racked up 1,085 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

San Diego has knocked in 147 home runs on the season as well as 552 runs batted in. They have 196 doubles, while getting a free base 454 times and putting up 580 runs. The San Diego Padres have tallied a team on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .247 so far this season. The Padres have a team SLG% of .412 and they average 4.72 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,007 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have totaled 1,005 base knocks.

The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 497 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.74 (451 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 143 long balls and they give up 4.12 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.242 with a FIP of 3.96 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.10 (1,172 strikeouts vs 378 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 14th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 970.

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.2% of 107 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 114 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 139 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 78 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. They are ranked 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.4%, and they have sent 461 relievers onto the field on the campaign. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 59 save opportunities and they have converted 38 saves.

The San Diego Padres have twisted 113 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (12th in professional baseball). The Padres have accrued 1,090 assists, 66 errors and have a total of 3,255 putouts over the course of the season. In their 9,765 innings played, the Padres hold a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (20th in MLB).

So far in his career, Musgrove has given up 592 base knocks while accumulating 616 punch outs in 630 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 285 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.189 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.92 and he has faced 2,635 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Musgrove (37-46 record in his career) holds a 4.07 ERA and has surrendered 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+140)

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