Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/31/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, July 31, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-141) Pittsburgh (+110)

JT Brubaker and the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-64, 5th in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (51-51, 2nd in NL East) at PNC Park on Saturday. The Pirates open this game at +110 while the Phillies are coming in at -141. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Aaron Nola and JT Brubaker.

The Phillies have hit 162 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 120 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 933 times, while drawing a walk on 359 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in MLB. They have accumulated 440 RBI's in addition to 810 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is .241. They have tallied 461 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .319.

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Phillies pitchers have yielded 134 long balls and also 484 runs in total (19th in the league). They have walked 317 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.25 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.93 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.47 so far this season (19th in the league), and they have struck out 928 batters.

The Phillies have dispatched 321 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 129 base runners on the season and 45.0% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 23 saves so far this year and have blown 23 of their 46 save opportunities. The Phillies relievers have recorded a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 41 holds this year (27th in baseball). Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 89 times as well as having 106 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 2,667 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 914 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which puts them in 22nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 663 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,001 innings on the diamond, ranking them 25th in baseball.

Nola has taken the hill for 958 innings and has accounted for 1,062 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.58 (381 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.165. He has conceded 834 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 282 free passes. Nola (65-46 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.44 and he has gone up against 3,948 batters in the majors.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a team on-base percentage of .307 as well as a team batting average of .236 so far this year. They have struck out on 825 instances (27th in the league) and have recorded 801 hits. Pittsburgh has recorded 84 home runs so far this year and 347 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .365 and they score 3.63 runs per outing (30th in baseball). They have recorded 155 two-baggers, while getting a free base 320 times as well as putting up 370 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 517 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.01 (488 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 131 HR's and they relinquish 5.30 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.396 and have a FIP of 4.62 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.27 (843 strikeouts against 372 bases on balls). They rank 19th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 852.

With 67 save situations, the Pirates have accumulated 43 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 22 save opportunities and they have walked away with 15 saves. Their relievers have come in 74 times in high leverage situations and on 80 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.1% out of 133 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 355 relievers onto the field so far this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have twisted 87 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in MLB). The Pirates have recorded 891 assists, 51 errors and have accumulated 2,632 putouts so far this season. Out of their 7,896 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in the majors).

During his career, Brubaker has surrendered 140 hits while tallying 147 K's in 143 innings. He has given up a total of 76 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.253 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.68 and he has gone up against 614 hitters so far in his MLB career. Brubaker (5-13 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.76 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-141)

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