Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, July 30, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-147) Pittsburgh (+115)

Wil Crowe and the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-63, 5th in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (50-50, 2nd in NL East) at PNC Park on Friday. The Phillies open this game at -147 while the Pirates are priced at +115. The total opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Wil Crowe.

The Phillies have hit 161 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 115 balls out of the park. Philadelphia is slugging .401 and have been rung up 922 times, while being walked on 351 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball. They have 428 RBI's and 795 base knocks on the year, and their batting average comes in at .241. They have notched a total of 449 runs and hold an OBP of .318.

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Phillies pitchers have surrendered 132 home runs and also 473 total runs (19th in MLB). They have walked 309 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.24 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.96 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 4.46 this season (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 914 hitters.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 87 times and also have had 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 41 holds on the campaign (27th in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 91 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves on the year and have blown 23 of their 46 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 128 runners on the season with 44.5% of those runners crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 315 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Phillies have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,866 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 25th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 2,622 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 893 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 649 double plays.

Nola has taken the mound for 958 innings and is sitting with 1,062 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.58 (381 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.165. He has conceded 834 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 282 walks. Nola (65-46 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 3,948 batters during his time in the majors.

The Pirates have a SLG% of .368 and they are earning 3.66 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have hit 155 two-baggers, while getting a free base 319 times and earning 370 runs. Pittsburgh has recorded 84 home runs this season and 347 runs batted in. They have struck out on 819 instances (27th in MLB) and have recorded 798 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .238 on the campaign.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 505 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.95 (477 earned runs given up). They have yielded 128 long balls and they give up 5.24 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.388 and have a FIP of 4.59 as a staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.26 (835 strikeouts vs 369 bases on balls). They are sitting at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 836.

With 67 save situations, the Pirates have 43 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 22 save chances and they have tallied 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 79 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.6% of 132 inherited runners. They rank 5th in baseball with a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 351 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have twisted 86 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (6th in baseball). The Pirates have recorded 881 assists, 50 errors and have 2,605 putouts on the campaign. In 7,815 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in the majors).

Crowe (2-7 career win-loss mark) has a 6.57 earned run average while conceding 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.79 and he has faced 340 hitters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 54 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.689 and having a FIP of 6.5. During his career, Crowe has surrendered 86 base knocks and he has 70 K's in 74 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-147)

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