Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+130) New York (-167)

Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (47-45, 2nd in NL East) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (48-44, 4th in AL East). The Yankees open this matchup at -167 while the Phillies are coming in at +130. The total opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Matt Moore and Jordan Montgomery.

The Phillies have recorded 146 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 105 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .400 and have been called out on strikes 848 times, while taking a walk on 311 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, which has them at 13th in the league. They have earned 399 RBI's in addition to 733 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .241. They have accounted for 418 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .317.

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The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.36 over the course of the season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 850 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 278 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.14 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.06 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have conceded 116 home runs in addition to 426 runs in total (18th in baseball).

The Phillies have sent 289 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 121 runners this year and 43.8% of those players earned a run for their team. They have 22 saves so far this season and have blown 23 of 45 save chances. The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 48.9% and stepped onto the hill in 90 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 41 holds on the season (20th in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 82 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,408 putouts thus far, as well as 815 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 14th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 591 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,224 innings, which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball.

Moore (54-57 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.37 while he has faced 4,061 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 926 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 386 free passes. His ERA is 4.54 (469 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.410. Moore has thrown 930 innings and has accumulated 839 strikeouts so far in his career.

The New York Yankees hold a team on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .235 on the season. They have struck out on 838 instances (13th in the league) and have notched a total of 708 base hits. New York has tallied 119 HRs this season as well as 353 runs batted in. The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .395 and they have an average of 4.15 runs per outing (21st in baseball). They have hit 113 doubles, while taking a walk 371 times and putting up 382 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.170 with a FIP of 3.83 as a staff this year. They are sitting at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 685. The New York pitching staff have conceded 375 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.78 (340 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.30 (867 strikeouts against 263 free passes). They have given up 106 home runs and they give up 4.17 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.4% out of 106 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 107 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with runners on. With 69 save situations, the Yankees have earned 37 holds and 9 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 265 relievers onto the diamond for the season. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 30 save chances and they have come away with 21 saves.

The New York Yankees have turned 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (13th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 762 assists, 52 errors and have amassed 2,430 putouts over the course of the season. In 7,290 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (8th in baseball).

In his career, Montgomery has allowed 309 base hits and he has 318 strikeouts in 329 innings. Montgomery (16-15 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.15 earned run average and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 152 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.247 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 1,388 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+130)

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