Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-116) New York (-105)

Citi Field is the venue where Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets (72-75, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (74-72, 2nd in NL East) on Saturday. The Phillies open this contest at -116 while the Mets are priced at -105. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Aaron Nola and Carlos Carrasco.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in MLB. They have accounted for 677 runs scored and hold an OBP of .320. The Phillies have earned 236 doubles as a team and have hit 180 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 645 RBI's as well as 1,171 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is at .242. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been rung up 1,256 times, while being walked on 518 occasions.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.50 this season (20th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,337 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.93 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 190 long balls in addition to 689 total runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 456 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.23 as a unit for the year.

The Phillies have sent 476 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 210 base runners on the campaign and 42.4% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 32 saves for the year and have blown 32 of their 64 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 133 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 63 holds on the year (24th in baseball). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 134 times and also have had 150 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 3,839 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,298 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which is 22nd in the majors, and they have twisted 951 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,517 innings, ranking them 25th in MLB.

Nola has pitched in 1,005 innings and has racked up 1,124 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Nola (65-48 career record) has a FIP of 3.42 while facing 4,141 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.65 (408 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.157. He has conceded 871 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 293 free passes.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .391 and they tally 3.97 runs per game (27th in baseball). They have recorded 205 doubles, while getting a free base 456 times as well as racking up 583 runs. New York has 163 home runs for the year to go along with 552 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,253 occasions (19th in the league) and have earned 1,130 base hits. The New York Mets have recorded a team on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a batting average of .239 so far this season.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 601 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (537 earned runs given up). They have conceded 171 homers and they yield 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.225 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.13 (1,325 strikeouts against 423 free passes). They are currently ranked 7th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,112.

Sitting with 138 save situations, the Mets have accrued 70 holds and 28 blown saves. New York has had relievers take the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of their 180 inherited base runners. They sit at 23rd in the league with a save rate of 57.6%, and they have sent 488 relievers to the hill for the season.

Out of their 11,280 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in the majors). The New York Mets have twisted 110 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,197 assists, 86 errors and have notched a total of 3,760 putouts so far this year.

Carrasco (89-75 career record) holds a 3.82 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.05 and he has faced 5,282 opposing hitters in his career. He has surrendered a total of 544 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.199 and having a FIP of 3.5. In his career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,205 base hits while he has totaled 1,342 strikeouts in 1,281 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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