Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 17, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-120) New York (-111)

Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (73-72, 2nd in NL East) go to Citi Field on Friday where they'll take on the New York Mets (72-75, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this contest at -120 while the Mets are priced at -111. The total opens at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Taijuan Walker.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB. They are sitting with 660 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .318. The Phillies have accumulated 230 two-baggers as a team and have hit 179 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 628 runs batted in in addition to 1,155 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .240. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 1,250 times, while drawing a walk on 512 occasions.

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Phillies pitchers have surrendered 188 home runs in addition to 681 runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 450 batters and their FIP is 4.21 as a squad so far this season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.47 so far this year (20th in the league), and they have struck out 1,330 hitters.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 131 times and also have had 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 63 holds this year (23rd in MLB). The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 50.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 133 save situations. They have compiled 32 saves so far this season and have missed out on 32 of 64 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 206 base runners so far this year and 42.2% of those players earned a run for their team. The Phillies have dispatched 470 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Phillies have transformed 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of 11,436 innings, which ranks them 25th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,812 putouts on the year, as well as 1,285 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them sitting 22nd in MLB, and they have turned 947 double plays.

Wheeler (61-49 career record) holds a FIP of 3.48 while he has gone up against 4,249 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 924 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 328 walks. His earned run average is 3.54 (399 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.233. Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,015 innings and has racked up 1,004 punch outs in his career.

New York has accounted for 163 home runs this year and 552 runs batted in. They have put up 205 two-baggers, while taking a walk 456 times and earning 583 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .239 on the campaign. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .391 and they are earning 3.97 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,253 instances (17th in the league) and have a total of 1,130 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.225 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a team on the season. They rank 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,112. The New York pitching staff have conceded 601 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.86 (537 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.13 (1,325 strikeouts vs 423 walks). They have conceded 171 homers and they surrender 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

With 138 save situations, the Mets have 70 holds and 28 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 66 save opportunities and they have converted 38 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 164 times in high leverage situations in addition to 123 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of 180 inherited base runners. They sit at 23rd in baseball with a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have sent 488 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The New York Mets have turned 110 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,197 assists, 86 errors and have amassed 3,760 putouts so far this year. Out of their 11,280 innings played, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 663 base knocks while tallying 665 punch outs in 726 innings. Walker (42-43 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.93 ERA while conceding 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 317 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.235 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and he has gone up against 3,066 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-111)

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