Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, September 6, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+130) Milwaukee (-167)

Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-66, 2nd in NL East) are headed to American Family Field on Monday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (83-54, 1st in NL Central). The Phillies open this contest at +130 while the Brewers are coming in at -167. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Matt Moore and Brandon Woodruff.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs/g, which has them at 13th in baseball. They are sitting with 617 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. The Phillies have compiled 220 doubles as a unit and have hit 161 balls out of the stadium. They have 588 RBI's in addition to 1,076 hits this season, and their batting average comes in at .241. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .408 and have been rung up 1,178 times, while being walked on 478 occasions.

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Phillies pitchers have given up 172 home runs in addition to 632 runs in total (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 424 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.88 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.45 on the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,220 batters.

The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 53.3% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The relievers have inherited 183 base runners for the year with 44.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Phillies pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 119 times in addition to having 135 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 427 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen have recorded 56 holds on the season (26th in MLB). They have compiled 32 saves so far this season and have blown 28 out of their 60 chances to save the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 3,545 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,206 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them sitting 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 879 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,635 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 25th in the majors.

Moore has taken the ball for 962 innings and has earned 865 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Moore (56-60 career record) holds a FIP of 4.44 while facing 4,209 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.65 (497 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.418. He has given up 961 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 404 walks.

The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .235 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,252 occasions (6th in the league) and have a total of 1,064 base hits. Milwaukee has tallied 163 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 596 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .397 and they are earning 4.59 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have recorded 214 doubles, while walking 493 times and putting up 629 runs.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.180 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.95 (1,367 strikeouts against 463 free passes). They are sitting at 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 972. They have conceded 135 homers and they surrender 3.79 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 512 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.41 (461 earned runs allowed).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.4% out of their 127 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 88 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 72 holds and also 24 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have sent 452 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 62 save opportunities and they have walked away with 38 saves.

In 10,944 innings on the field, the Brewers have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (5th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 85 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in the majors). The Brewers have recorded 1,135 assists, 81 errors and have accumulated 3,648 putouts so far this season.

Woodruff (28-18 career record) holds a 3.18 earned run average and has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.29 and he has faced 1,763 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 155 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.066 and having a FIP of 3.1. So far in his career, Woodruff has surrendered 351 base hits while totaling 498 K's in 438 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+130)

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