Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-185) Miami (+145)

Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-65, 2nd in NL East) travel to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (56-79, 4th in NL East). The Phillies open this contest at -185 while the Marlins are priced at +145. The total opens at 7. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Elieser Hernandez.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which has them at 11th in the league. They have a total of 615 runs scored and hold an OBP of .319. The Phillies have hit 219 doubles as a team and have knocked 160 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 586 runs batted in as well as 1,068 hits on the year, while their batting average comes in at .240. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .408 and have struck out 1,171 times, while drawing a walk on 475 occasions.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.46 on the season (20th in the league), and they have struck out 1,207 batters. They have walked 421 opposing players and their FIP is 4.23 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 171 home runs and also 629 total runs (18th in the league).

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 54.2% and has entered the game in 119 save situations. The relievers have inherited 183 base runners this season with 44.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 119 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 424 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 54 holds on the season (26th in the league). They have tallied 32 saves on the campaign and have not converted 27 of their 59 save chances.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 3,521 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,201 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 25th in MLB, and they have twisted 874 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,563 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 25th in pro baseball.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,003 frames and has tallied 987 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 3.57 (398 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.236. He has given up 914 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 326 walks. Wheeler (59-49 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.49 while going up against 4,199 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .376 and they are recording 3.99 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have put up 198 doubles, while taking a walk 390 times and earning 538 runs. Miami has tallied 130 home runs on the year and 513 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,290 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,057 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have earned a team OBP of .304 and a team batting average of .236 for the year.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.264 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.01 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63 (1,137 strikeouts vs 433 bases on balls). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,056. They have yielded 135 home runs and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 571 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.93 (514 earned runs allowed).

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.3% of 153 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 142 times in high leverage situations in addition to 100 occasions with runners on base. With 113 save situations, the Marlins have 64 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They rank 29th in MLB holding a save rate of 51.0%, and they have sent 491 relievers to the mound this season. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 49 save opportunities and they have converted 25 saves.

In 10,608 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (19th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 124 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,209 assists, 94 errors and have a tally of 3,536 putouts this season.

During his career, Hernandez has allowed 191 base hits while accumulating 191 punch outs in 201 frames. He has surrendered 104 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.264 and having a FIP of 5.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.03 and he has faced 860 hitters so far in his career. Hernandez (7-13 career mark) has earned a 4.66 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+145)

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