Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 3, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-125) Miami (+100)

Kyle Gibson and the Philadelphia Phillies (68-64, 2nd in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Friday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (55-78, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Phillies priced at -125 and the Marlins are at +100. The total has been set at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Sandy Alcantara.

Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,155 times, while drawing a walk on 468 occasions. They have earned 577 runs batted in and 1,053 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is .241. The Phillies have recorded 215 doubles as a squad and have hit 159 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 605 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league.

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The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.40 on the year (19th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,191 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have conceded 168 home runs in addition to 613 runs in total (16th in MLB). They have walked 413 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.21 as a team for the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 53.4% and stepped onto the hill in 117 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 173 base runners this year with 43.4% of those players earned a run for their team. Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 115 times and also have had 131 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 415 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 53 holds on the year (26th in the league). They have recorded 31 saves so far this year and have missed out on 27 of their 58 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have converted 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,410 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 25th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 3,470 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,181 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them sitting 25th in baseball, and they have twisted 862 double plays.

Gibson (79-79 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.29 while he has gone up against 5,608 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,339 base hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 475 free passes. His earned run average is 4.38 (635 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.391. Gibson has taken the mound for 1,304 innings and has tallied 1,019 strikeouts in his career.

The Miami Marlins hold a team on-base percentage of .304 and a team batting average of .237 this year. They have struck out on 1,274 occasions (3rd in the league) and have notched a total of 1,043 base hits. Miami has knocked in 128 home runs on the campaign as well as 501 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .376 and they score 3.95 runs per game (27th in baseball). They have tallied 196 doubles, while walking 382 times as well as scoring 525 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 564 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.93 (507 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 133 dingers and they yield 4.37 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 4.01 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.61 (1,123 strikeouts vs 430 free passes). They sit at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,042.

Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 38.0% out of 150 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 139 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with base runners. With 113 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 64 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They are ranked 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 51.0%, and they have dispatched 485 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 49 save opportunities and they have come away with 25 saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 122 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,190 assists, 89 errors and have 3,485 putouts during this campaign. In 10,455 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (19th in baseball).

Alcantara (19-31 record in his career) holds a 3.54 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.26 and he has faced 1,871 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 176 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.2. In his pro baseball career, Alcantara has allowed 386 hits while he has accumulated 388 punch outs in 447 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+100)

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