Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 10/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Pablo Lopez and the Miami Marlins (65-94, 4th in NL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (81-78, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Sunday.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 1,362 times, while drawing a walk on 559 occasions. They have accumulated 690 RBI's in addition to 1,265 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .240. The Phillies have accumulated 258 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 194 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 724 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .318. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 13th in MLB.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.42 this season (20th in the league), and they have struck out 1,456 batters. They have walked 500 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.15 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.91 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have yielded 198 home runs and 737 total runs (17th in the league).

Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 144 times and also have had 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 70 holds on the year (21st in baseball). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 51.4% and stepped onto the hill in 146 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves so far this season and have missed out on 34 of 70 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 225 base runners on the campaign with 41.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Phillies have sent 515 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 4,181 putouts this season, as well as 1,414 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 21st in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,036 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,543 innings, which has them sitting at 24th in professional baseball.

Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,033 innings and is sitting with 1,026 punch outs during his career. Wheeler (62-50 career record) has a FIP of 3.45 while he has gone up against 4,320 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.51 (403 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.227. He has allowed 936 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 332 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .298 and a batting average of .233 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,529 occasions (2nd in the league) and have accounted for 1,224 hits. Miami has accumulated 156 home runs this season as well as 587 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .373 and they score 3.87 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have 225 two-baggers, while walking 441 times and scoring 615 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 691 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.97 (612 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 158 homers and they allow 4.48 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.285 and have a FIP of 4.02 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.56 (1,341 strikeouts vs 524 bases on balls). They are sitting at 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,259.

Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 56 save chances and they have recorded 31 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 55.4%, and they have sent 581 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 183 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with base runners. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.3% out of 201 inherited runners. With 124 save situations, the Marlins have earned 68 holds and also 25 blown saves.

In their 12,492 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in baseball). The Miami Marlins have twisted 144 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,424 assists, 121 errors and are sitting with 4,164 putouts on the season.

Lopez (18-21 career mark) has earned a 4.03 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.53 and he has faced 1,365 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 147 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.188 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Lopez has given up 302 base hits while accumulating 311 strikeouts in 328 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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