Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-116) Miami (-105)

Hans Crouse and the Philadelphia Phillies (81-78, 2nd in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (65-94, 4th in NL East). The Phillies open this game at -116 while the Marlins are coming in at -105. The over/under opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Hans Crouse and Jesus Luzardo.

The Phillies have tallied 258 doubles as a unit and have hit 194 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,362 times, while being walked on 559 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB. They have compiled 690 runs batted in and 1,265 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .240. They have notched a total of 724 runs and have an on-base percentage of .318.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.42 on the year (20th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,456 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 500 hitters and their FIP is 4.15 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.91 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 198 home runs in addition to 737 total runs (17th in the league).

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 144 times as well as having 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 70 holds so far this year (21st in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 51.4% and has entered the game in 146 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves for the year and have blown 34 of 70 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 225 runners on the season and 41.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have sent 515 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Phillies have turned 68.7% of balls in play into outs in their 12,543 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,181 putouts this year, as well as 1,414 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them ranked 21st in baseball, and have accumulated 1,036 double plays.

Crouse has thrown 3 innings and has 1 strikeouts in his career. Crouse (0-1 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 10.83 and he has faced 15 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.00 (1 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 2.000. He has allowed 2 base hits (6.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 4 walks.

Miami is sitting with 156 home runs so far this season and 587 RBIs. They have recorded 225 doubles, while taking a walk 441 times and earning 615 runs. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .298 and a team batting average of .233 this season. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .373 and they average 3.87 runs per game (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,529 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have tallied 1,224 base knocks.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.285 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a squad on the campaign. They rank 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,259. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 691 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.97 (612 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.56 (1,341 strikeouts vs 524 bases on balls). They have conceded 158 dingers and they concede 4.48 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 56 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves. They sit at 24th in baseball holding a save percentage of 55.4%, and they have dispatched 581 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 183 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.3% of 201 inherited base runners. Sitting with 124 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 68 holds and also 25 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have twisted 144 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The Marlins have 1,424 assists, 121 errors and have 4,164 putouts on the campaign. In 12,492 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (22nd in pro baseball).

Luzardo (8-11 career mark) has earned a 5.48 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 710 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 98 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.435 and a FIP of 5.0. In his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 163 hits and he has 162 strikeouts in 161 frames.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-105)

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