Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-141) Miami (+110)

Marlins Park is the site where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (65-93, 4th in NL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (81-77, 2nd in NL East) on Friday. The Marlins open this game at +110 while the Phillies are coming in at -141. The total has been set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Ranger Suarez and Sandy Alcantara.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 1,357 times, while drawing a walk on 556 occasions. They have 687 runs batted in and 1,260 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average sits at .241. The Phillies have accounted for 257 doubles as a squad and have knocked 192 baseballs out of the park. They have 721 runs while having a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in MLB.

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The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.42 for the year (20th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,442 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have given up 196 long balls and also 732 runs in total (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 498 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.15 as a team over the course of the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 51.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 146 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 224 base runners this year with 41.5% of them crossed home plate. Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 143 times in addition to having 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 512 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have racked up 70 holds over the course of the season (21st in the league). They have earned 36 saves for the year and have missed out on 34 of 70 chances to save the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 4,157 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,407 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them sitting 21st in MLB, and have accumulated 1,028 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,471 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 24th in the majors.

Suarez has thrown 166 innings and has tallied 152 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 2.75 (51 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.224. He has surrendered 150 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 54 walks. Suarez (14-8 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.53 while he has gone up against 691 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .298 and a team batting average of .233 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,517 occasions (2nd in MLB) and have totaled 1,218 hits. Miami has hit 155 home runs so far this year as well as 585 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .374 and they have an average of 3.87 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have notched 225 doubles, while taking a walk 436 times as well as putting up 612 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 679 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.91 (600 earned runs allowed). They have given up 155 homers and they concede 4.43 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.280 with a FIP of 3.99 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.58 (1,335 strikeouts against 517 walks). They rank 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,249.

With 124 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 68 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Miami has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 56 save opportunities and they have recorded 31 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 183 times in high leverage situations and also on 130 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of their 198 inherited runners. They rank 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 55.4%, and they have sent 578 relief pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 142 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,414 assists, 120 errors and have a tally of 4,140 putouts on the campaign. In 12,420 innings played, the Marlins hold a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (22nd in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Alcantara has surrendered 414 hits while he has totaled 425 punch outs in 482 innings. He has given up a total of 185 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.44 and he has faced 2,009 batters in his MLB career. Alcantara (20-33 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.45 earned run average and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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