Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/31/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, May 31, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+110) Cincinnati (-120)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (23-28, 4th in NL Central) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (25-28, 3rd in NL East) on Monday. The Phillies open this matchup at +110 while the Reds are priced at -120. The O/U is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Vince Velasquez and Tyler Mahle.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.0 runs/g, which ranks them 20th in MLB. They have accumulated 207 runs and have an OBP of .308. The Phillies have hit 74 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 52 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 198 RBI's and 395 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .232. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .375 and have struck out 528 times, while drawing a walk on 170 occasions.

The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.17 on the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 488 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 155 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a squad this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Phillies pitchers have given up 65 home runs and also 226 runs (17th in baseball).

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 54.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 49 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 69 runners this season and 43.5% of those runners crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 45 times and also have had 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 159 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have notched 24 holds on the campaign (18th in baseball). They have earned 13 saves on the year and have blown 11 out of their 24 chances to save the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 1,365 putouts so far this season, as well as 450 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 337 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,095 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 24th in MLB.

Velasquez (30-35 career record) has a FIP of 4.37 while he has faced 2,550 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 572 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 241 free passes. His ERA is 4.61 (304 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.370. Velasquez has pitched in 593 innings and has earned 660 K's thus far in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .246 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 447 instances (19th in baseball) and have recorded 418 hits. Cincinnati has a total of 70 home runs for the season as well as 227 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging % of .422 and they earn 4.80 runs per game (10th in the league). They have put up 81 doubles, while getting a free base 162 times and scoring 240 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.381 with a FIP of 4.39 as a squad on the campaign. They have a ranking of 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 399. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 270 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.99 (246 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 (481 strikeouts against 214 bases on balls). They have yielded 63 homers and they surrender 5.47 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.8% out of their 87 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 48 times in high leverage situations in addition to 60 occasions with runners on. With 29 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 13 holds and also 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 20th in the league with a save percentage of 56.3%, and they have dispatched 181 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 16 save chances and they have tallied 9 saves.

In their 3,996 innings played, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (20th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 32 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 440 assists, 33 errors and have a tally of 1,332 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Mahle has surrendered 358 base hits and he has 369 strikeouts in 359 frames. Mahle (16-27 record in his career) has earned a 4.55 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 182 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.376 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and he has faced 1,567 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+110)

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