Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, July 9, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+115) Boston (-147)

Vince Velasquez and the Philadelphia Phillies (41-43, 4th in NL East) are headed to Fenway Park on Friday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (54-34, 1st in AL East). The Red Sox open this game at -147 while the Phillies are priced at +115. The total opens at 11. The starting pitchers are Vince Velasquez and Garrett Richards.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in MLB. They are sitting with 370 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Phillies have tallied 132 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 94 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 354 runs batted in and 659 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .239. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .397 and have been called out on strikes 783 times, while drawing a walk on 279 occasions.

The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.37 for the year (18th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 771 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 251 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a unit on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have conceded 107 home runs in addition to 386 runs in total (18th in the league).

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 71 times in addition to having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 35 holds for the year (25th in the league). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save rate of 46.3% and has entered the game in 78 save situations. They have recorded 19 saves so far this year and have blown 22 of their 41 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 107 runners on the campaign and 43.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 258 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 2,180 putouts for the season, in addition to 728 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 536 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,540 innings, which has them ranked 25th in professional baseball.

Velasquez has taken the hill for 626 innings and has earned 690 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Velasquez (31-38 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.39 while going up against 2,695 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.70 (327 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.372. He has surrendered 605 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 255 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .258 this year. They have been rung up on 756 occasions (14th in baseball) and have totaled 761 hits. Boston has 110 home runs on the year to go along with 415 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .438 and they average 5.09 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They have put up 183 doubles, while taking a walk 244 times as well as putting up 443 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 381 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (341 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 87 homers and they relinquish 4.45 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.386 and have a FIP of 3.85 as a unit so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 (812 strikeouts vs 299 free passes). They are sitting at 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 768.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.0% of 131 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 113 times in high leverage situations in addition to 85 occasions with base runners. With 107 save situations, the Red Sox have 61 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 67.4%, and they have sent 285 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 87 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (27th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 789 assists, 60 errors and are sitting with 2,311 putouts on the season. In their 6,933 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Richards has conceded 823 base knocks and he has 771 punch outs in 891 frames. Richards (51-46 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.75 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 371 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.297 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 3,775 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+115)

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