Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, July 10, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+140) Boston (-175)

Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (42-43, 2nd in NL East) travel to Fenway Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (54-34, 1st in AL East). The Phillies open this game at +140 while the Red Sox are coming in at -175. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matt Moore and Martin Perez.

Philadelphia is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 799 times, while taking a walk on 285 occasions. They have recorded 364 RBI's in addition to 676 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .239. The Phillies have hit 135 two-baggers as a team and have hit 99 baseballs out of the park. They have 381 runs scored and have an OBP of .315. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.5 runs per outing, which has them at 13th in baseball.

The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.34 for the season (18th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 787 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 255 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.11 as a team for the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 107 home runs and 394 total runs (19th in MLB).

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 46.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 78 save situations. The relievers have inherited 109 base runners so far this season and 44.0% of them crossed the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 72 times in addition to having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 263 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have accumulated 35 holds so far this season (26th in MLB). They have earned 19 saves this year and have not converted 22 of 41 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,231 putouts on the campaign, as well as 748 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them sitting 16th in professional baseball, and they have turned 547 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of 6,693 innings on the field, ranking them 24th in professional baseball.

Moore has taken the hill for 922 innings and has earned 829 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.54 (465 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.410. He has allowed 917 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 383 free passes. Moore (54-57 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.37 while he has gone up against 4,022 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .437 and they have an average of 5.08 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have tallied 185 two-baggers, while getting a free base 246 times and scoring 447 runs. Boston has accumulated 110 home runs so far this season and 419 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 766 instances (15th in MLB) and have totaled 770 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .258 for the season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 386 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.00 (346 earned runs given up). They have given up 90 homers and they relinquish 4.46 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.385 with a FIP of 3.87 as a staff on the campaign. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 (821 strikeouts against 299 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 779.

Sitting with 107 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 113 times in high leverage situations in addition to 85 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.0% out of 131 inherited base runners. They sit at 8th in MLB holding a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have sent 288 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 88 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 801 assists, 60 errors and have earned a total of 2,335 putouts so far this year. In 7,005 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in professional baseball).

Perez (63-65 career record) has a 4.64 earned run average while giving up 10.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.81 and he has gone up against 4,669 opposing hitters in his career. He has allowed a total of 552 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.474 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. During his MLB career, Perez has allowed 1,185 hits while he has accumulated 708 K's in 1,069 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-175)

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