Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+145) Atlanta (-192)

Truist Park is the site where Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (83-72, 1st in NL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (81-75, 2nd in NL East) on Wednesday. The Phillies open this game at +145 while the Braves are coming in at -192. The over/under opens at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Max Fried.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .412 and have struck out 1,339 times, while being walked on 552 occasions. They have tallied 684 RBI's in addition to 1,252 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is .242. The Phillies have compiled 255 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 192 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 718 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in the league.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.41 on the year (20th in the league), and they have rung up 1,426 hitters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.90 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have allowed 196 home runs in addition to 723 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 491 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a team this year.

The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 51.4% and stepped onto the hill in 146 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 base runners on the season with 40.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 141 times and also have had 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 507 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 70 holds this year (21st in the league). They have earned 36 saves so far this season and have blown 34 out of their 70 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 4,109 putouts this season, as well as 1,388 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 21st in MLB, and have a total of 1,012 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,327 innings, which has them sitting at 24th in MLB.

Nola has thrown 1,017 innings and has earned 1,141 K's in his pro baseball career. Nola (67-48 career record) holds a FIP of 3.42 while he has gone up against 4,188 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.67 (415 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.156. He has conceded 881 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 295 walks.

The Braves hold a slugging % of .436 and they are scoring 4.92 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have put up 259 doubles, while walking 533 times as well as scoring 762 runs. Atlanta has compiled 232 long balls over the course of the season as well as 734 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,397 occasions (10th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,262 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .244 this year.

The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 641 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.95 (595 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 178 homers and they relinquish 4.25 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.256 in addition to having a FIP of 4.11 as a unit this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 (1,369 strikeouts vs 502 walks). They sit at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,201.

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 63 save chances and they have earned 37 saves. They sit at 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 58.7%, and they have dispatched 560 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 216 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 183 inherited runners. With 173 save situations, the Braves have tallied 109 holds and 26 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have twisted 99 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in MLB). The Braves have accrued 1,420 assists, 67 errors and have a tally of 4,070 putouts for the year. In 12,210 innings on the diamond, the Braves have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (6th in the majors).

Fried (39-18 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.38 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.17 and he has faced 1,831 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 165 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.241 and having a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Fried has surrendered 407 hits and he has 441 K's in 440 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-192)

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