Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+122) Atlanta (-132)

Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (5-2, 1st in NL East) are headed to Truist Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (3-4, 3rd in NL East). The Braves open this contest at -132 while the Phillies are priced at +122. The O/U opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Matt Moore and Drew Smyly.

The Phillies have tallied 11 doubles as a squad and have knocked 5 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia is slugging .374 and have struck out 72 times, while drawing a walk on 22 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have accumulated 24 runs batted in as well as 57 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .251. They have earned 27 runs and hold an OBP of .333.

The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.14 on the year (9th in the league), and the staff has struck out 69 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. Phillies pitchers have conceded 7 home runs and also 24 runs in total (22nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 25 hitters and their FIP is 3.75 as a team this season.

Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 5 times in addition to having 7 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 100% and has stepped onto the mound in 2 save situations. They have earned 2 saves this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 9 runners this season with 33.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have sent 21 relievers to the mound so far this year.

Moore has taken the ball for 898 innings and has tallied 810 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.51 (450 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.405. He has given up 889 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 373 walks. Moore (54-56 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.32 while he has faced 3,913 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Atlanta has a total of 10 HRs so far this year and 23 runs batted in. They have recorded 9 two-baggers, while taking a walk 19 times as well as racking up 25 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold a team on-base percentage of .262 in addition to a team batting average of .194 for the season. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .373 and they tally 3.57 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out on 71 occasions (13th in the league) and have notched a total of 42 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.352 and have a FIP of 2.88 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.96 (71 strikeouts vs 24 free passes). They rank 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 52. They have given up 3 long balls and they concede 3.52 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 22 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.04 (19 earned runs given up).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 0% of 8 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 16 times in high leverage situations and on 4 occasions with base runners. With 7 save situations, the Braves have compiled 4 holds and also 1 blown save. They rank 9th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 26 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Atlanta has called on relievers to take the mound in 3 save opportunities and they have tallied 2 saves.

In his MLB career, Smyly has given up 673 base hits while he has tallied 722 punch outs in 716 innings pitched. Smyly (35-35 career mark) is the owner of a 4.12 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 328 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.19 and he has faced 2,998 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-132)

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