New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+130) Toronto (-172)

Rogers Centre is the site where Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-70, 4th in AL East) will play the New York Yankees (90-67, 2nd in AL East) on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Yankees coming in at +130 and the Blue Jays are at -172. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Corey Kluber and Robbie Ray.

New York is slugging .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,433 times, while drawing a walk on 612 occasions. They have tallied 649 runs batted in and 1,236 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is at .239. The Yankees have earned 208 two-baggers as a team and have hit 216 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 694 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .325. As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in baseball.

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Yankees pitchers have conceded 187 home runs and also 645 runs in total (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 478 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.87 as a team on the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20. The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.70 so far this year (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,520 hitters.

The Yankees have dispatched 493 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 209 base runners for the year and 27.8% of them ended up scoring. They have 47 saves for the year and have not converted 26 of their 73 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 64.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 81 holds on the year (13th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 154 times in addition to having 213 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees have earned a total of 4,174 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,284 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which puts them in 26th in pro baseball, and they have turned 1,009 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of 12,522 innings, which has them ranked 9th in the majors.

Kluber (103-61 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.04 while he has gone up against 5,721 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,232 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 325 walks. His earned run average is 3.19 (503 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.098. Kluber has taken the mound for 1,418 frames and has totaled 1,542 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Toronto has accounted for 248 home runs on the campaign as well as 780 runs batted in. They have tallied 269 doubles, while taking a walk 488 times and racking up 810 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team OBP of .330 and a team batting average of .264 on the campaign. The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .460 and they are scoring 5.16 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,188 occasions (30th in baseball) and have 1,397 base knocks.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.238 in addition to having a FIP of 4.17 as a staff this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 (1,418 strikeouts against 464 free passes). They are currently ranked 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,220. They have conceded 201 long balls and they concede 4.25 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 643 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (590 earned runs yielded).

With 116 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 64 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 49 save opportunities and they have converted 32 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 155 times in high leverage situations and on 164 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.5% out of their 235 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 8th in baseball with a save rate of 65.3%, and they have sent 524 relievers onto the field so far this season.

Out of their 12,243 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (10th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 119 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (20th in MLB). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,333 assists, 88 errors and have accounted for 4,081 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Ray has conceded 911 base knocks while totaling 1,286 K's in 1,030 frames. Ray (62-57 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.97 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 455 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.321 and a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and he has faced 4,396 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+130)

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