New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-120) Boston (+100)

Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (88-65, 2nd in AL East) play the New York Yankees (86-67, 3rd in AL East) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees coming in at -120 and the Red Sox are at +100. The over/under opens at 9. The men taking the mound will be Nestor Cortes Jr and Nick Pivetta.

New York has a slugging rate of .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,396 times, while taking a walk on 598 occasions. They have 625 runs batted in and 1,196 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .238. The Yankees have hit 200 two-baggers as a team and have hit 209 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 668 runs scored and hold an OBP of .324. As a squad, the New York Yankees are knocking in 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in the league.

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Yankees pitchers have surrendered 184 home runs and 634 total runs (12th in baseball). They have walked 467 opposing players and their FIP is 3.89 as a unit this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.74 on the season (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,483 hitters.

The Yankees relievers have compiled a save rate of 64.3% and has entered the game in 154 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 203 base runners for the season and 27.6% of those players crossed home plate. Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 150 times as well as having 208 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 477 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relievers have earned 79 holds on the season (12th in MLB). They have recorded 45 saves for the season and have not converted 25 of their 70 save opportunities.

The Yankees have transformed 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,198 innings on the diamond, ranking them 10th in baseball. The New York Yankees have notched a total of 4,066 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,255 assists and 96 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which is 25th in professional baseball, and have earned 980 double plays.

Cortes Jr has taken the mound for 163 innings and has earned 174 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.69 (85 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.387. He has surrendered 163 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 63 walks. Cortes Jr (7-4 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 5.17 while he has gone up against 707 batters in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team on-base percentage of .329 and a team batting average of .262 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,306 occasions (17th in the league) and have earned 1,361 hits. Boston has a total of 205 home runs on the year and 751 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .452 and they earn 5.19 runs per game (4th in the league). They have 324 doubles, while getting a free base 481 times as well as scoring 794 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.381 with a FIP of 3.97 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,337. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 710 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.25 (633 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.79 (1,433 strikeouts vs 513 bases on balls). They have relinquished 167 homers and they allow 4.77 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

Sitting with 161 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 86 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Boston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 70 save opportunities and they have come away with 46 saves. Their relievers have come in 182 times in high leverage situations in addition to 167 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.0% of 257 inherited runners. They rank 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have dispatched 527 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 136 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,349 assists, 104 errors and have a total of 4,020 putouts on the season. In 12,060 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 65.8% (30th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Pivetta has surrendered 558 base hits while he has totaled 593 K's in 550 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 318 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.406 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.75 and he has gone up against 2,389 hitters during his MLB career. Pivetta (30-37 career win-loss record) has earned a 5.20 earned run average while surrendering 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-120)

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