New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Boston (-156)

Fenway Park is the site where Martin Perez and the Boston Red Sox (59-38, 1st in AL East) will take on the New York Yankees (50-45, 3rd in AL East) on Sunday. The Yankees open this contest at +125 while the Red Sox are priced at -156. The O/U opens at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Domingo German and Martin Perez.

As a team, the New York Yankees are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 21st in MLB. They have a total of 398 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. The Yankees have earned 116 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 125 balls out of the stadium. They have 368 runs batted in as well as 731 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is .235. New York has a slugging % of .397 and have been rung up 868 times, while being walked on 385 occasions.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.77 on the year (11th in the league), and they have struck out 896 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 283 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.85 as a squad over the course of the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.17 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18. Yankees pitchers have allowed 109 long balls and 389 runs in total (9th in baseball).

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 86 times in addition to having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 43 holds for the season (19th in MLB). The Yankees relievers have earned a save percentage of 62.9% and has entered the game in 80 save situations. They have accumulated 22 saves on the season and have not converted 13 of 35 save chances. The relievers have inherited 115 base runners for the season and 27.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 281 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Yankees have converted 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,548 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have earned a total of 2,516 putouts this year, in addition to 788 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which puts them in 13th in MLB, and have accumulated 632 double plays.

German has pitched in 329 innings and is sitting with 353 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.57 (167 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.231. He has surrendered 302 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 103 free passes. German (24-16 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.58 while going up against 1,395 hitters in the majors.

Boston has compiled 128 home runs so far this season to go along with 465 RBIs. They have recorded 207 doubles, while taking a walk 282 times as well as putting up 495 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold a team OBP of .321 as well as a batting average of .257 so far this season. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .443 and they average 5.10 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 839 occasions (17th in MLB) and have earned 847 hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.374 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.91 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.72 (907 strikeouts vs 333 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 843. They have yielded 102 home runs and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have given up 431 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.08 (388 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 112 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 64 holds and 14 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 45 save opportunities and they have walked away with 31 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 116 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of their 148 inherited runners. They rank 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.9%, and they have dispatched 321 relievers to the mound so far this year.

Out of their 7,707 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (30th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 96 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 886 assists, 68 errors and have accounted for 2,569 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Perez has allowed 1,196 base hits while he has totaled 717 strikeouts in 1,077 innings. Perez (63-67 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.66 earned run average and has conceded 10.0 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 558 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.477 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 1.82 and he has gone up against 4,704 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-156)

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