New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, June 26, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Boston (-135)

Fenway Park is the venue where Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (44-31, 2nd in AL East) will take on the New York Yankees (40-34, 3rd in AL East) on Saturday. The Red Sox open this contest at -135 while the Yankees are priced at +110. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jordan Montgomery and Nathan Eovaldi.

The Yankees have accrued 91 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 98 baseballs out of the stadium. New York is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 683 times, while drawing a walk on 297 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which is 20th in MLB. They have compiled 276 runs batted in as well as 572 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is .235. They have tallied 300 runs while having a team OBP of .320.

The Yankees have an ERA of 3.58 over the course of the season (9th in the league), and their staff has rung up 697 batters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.37 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.15. Yankees pitchers have yielded 82 long balls and 293 total runs (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 207 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.71 as a unit for the season.

The Yankees relievers have recorded a save percentage of 71.4% and has entered the game in 60 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 76 base runners over the course of the season and 21.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 62 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 218 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have notched 31 holds for the year (22nd in MLB). They have compiled 20 saves this year and have blown 8 of their 28 chances to save the game.

The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,937 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have 1,979 putouts so far this season, as well as 643 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 13th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 476 double plays.

Montgomery has taken the hill for 306 innings and has earned 294 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Montgomery (16-11 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.94 while facing 1,290 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.11 (140 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.242. He has surrendered 288 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 93 free passes.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .436 and they are scoring 4.97 runs per outing (6th in baseball). They have 163 two-baggers, while walking 204 times as well as earning 373 runs. Boston has hit 92 home runs for the season as well as 350 RBIs. They have struck out on 671 occasions (13th in the league) and have tallied 652 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .256 on the year.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.405 and have a FIP of 3.87 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 656. The Boston pitching staff have given up 342 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (308 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.61 (706 strikeouts vs 271 free passes). They have yielded 74 long balls and they allow 4.66 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

With 80 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 46 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 90 times in high leverage situations and on 73 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.8% out of their 117 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 8th in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 247 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

In 5,940 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 65.4% (30th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have twisted 70 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 674 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 1,980 putouts over the course of the season.

Thus far in his career, Eovaldi has conceded 1,096 base knocks while tallying 840 strikeouts in 1,049 frames. He has allowed a total of 494 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has gone up against 4,484 opposing batters in his MLB career. Eovaldi (57-60 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.24 ERA while conceding 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-135)

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