New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/16/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 16, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-233) Baltimore (+175)

Jordan Montgomery and the New York Yankees (81-64, 2nd in AL East) head to Oriole Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Baltimore Orioles (46-98, 5th in AL East). The Orioles open this game at +175 while the Yankees are priced at -233. The O/U has been set at 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jordan Montgomery and Chris Ellis.

New York has a slugging rate of .403 and have been rung up 1,334 times, while drawing a walk on 568 occasions. They have compiled 591 runs batted in and 1,130 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .237. The Yankees have tallied 189 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 194 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 632 runs scored and hold an OBP of .323. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 19th in baseball.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.75 on the year (5th in the league), and they have struck out 1,386 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 3.07 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Yankees pitchers have allowed 174 home runs in addition to 599 total runs (8th in the league). They have walked 451 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a unit so far this season.

Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 141 times and also have had 196 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 73 holds over the course of the season (14th in the league). The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 65.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 144 save situations. They have compiled 43 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 23 of their 66 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 194 base runners for the season with 27.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Yankees have dispatched 453 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The New York Yankees have earned 3,849 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,192 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 25th in baseball, and have earned 930 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,547 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in baseball.

Montgomery has pitched in 369 frames and has earned 356 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.98 (163 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.260. He has conceded 347 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 118 free passes. Montgomery (18-16 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.89 while he has gone up against 1,556 batters in the majors.

The Orioles hold a slugging % of .407 and they score 4.18 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have recorded 243 two-baggers, while taking a walk 406 times as well as putting up 602 runs. Baltimore has knocked in 178 long balls on the campaign and 577 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,273 occasions (13th in the league) and have 1,159 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles have recorded a team on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .240 for the year.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.495 in addition to having a FIP of 5.17 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 30th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,349. The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 864 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 5.94 (822 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 (1,122 strikeouts against 513 walks). They have given up 232 long balls and they relinquish 6.25 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

Sitting with 99 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 54 holds and 22 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relievers to enter the contest in 44 save chances and they have recorded 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 185 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 41.1% of 297 inherited runners. They are ranked 29th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 496 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 86 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in professional baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,193 assists, 70 errors and have earned a total of 3,736 putouts so far this season. In their 11,208 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (28th in pro baseball).

Ellis (1-0 win-loss record in his career) holds a 1.99 earned run average while giving up 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.80 and he has faced 95 batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 5 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.191 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Ellis has given up 17 hits while he has earned 18 strikeouts in 22 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-233)

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