New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-136) Washington (+126)

Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (26-34, 4th in NL East last year) go to Nationals Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Washington Nationals (26-34, 5th in NL East last season). The line on this matchup has the Mets priced at -136 and the Nationals are at +126. The O/U is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer.

As a team, the New York Mets knocked in 4.8 runs per game last year, which had them at 13th in MLB. They accumulated 286 runs and held an OBP of .348. The Mets earned 106 doubles as a squad and smacked 86 balls out of the stadium. They had 278 runs batted in and 551 hits in the previous season, and their team batting average was .272. New York had a slugging percentage of .459 and were rung up 498 times, while taking a walk on 197 occasions.

Mets pitchers allowed 81 home runs and also 308 total runs (8th in MLB). They walked 219 opposing players and their FIP was 4.46 as a team over the course of last year. Their K/BB ratio was 2.62 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.42. The Mets finished with a team earned run average of 4.98 for the previous season (22nd in the league), and they rung up 574 hitters. The Mets had dispatched 197 relief pitchers to the mound during the previous year. The relievers inherited 98 runners over the course of the prior season with 33.7% of those players crossed the plate. They accumulated 11 saves last season and did not convert 7 of their 18 save chances. The Mets relievers accumulated a save percentage of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 46 save situations. The bullpen a total of 27 holds over the course of the prior season (19th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers entered the contest with opponents on base in 48 contests in addition to 51 contests with high leverage.

Jacob deGrom gave up 47 hits in 68 innings in which he pitched over the course of last year. His ERA was 2.38 and he fanned 104 batters. He surrendered 18 ER's last year with a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.8. He allowed 6.2 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was 0.956. deGrom had a FIP of 2.26 and an ERA+ of 183. deGrom has taken the mound for 1,169 innings and has accumulated 1,359 strikeouts during his MLB career. deGrom (70-51 career record) has a FIP of 2.75 while facing 4,654 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.61 (339 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.047. He has surrendered 941 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 284 walks.

Washington hit 66 home runs last season as well as 279 runs batted in. They hit 112 two-baggers, while walking 192 times and scoring 293 runs. The Washington Nationals earned an OBP of .336 as well as a team batting average of .264 over the course of last season. The Nationals held a slugging percentage of .433 and they were recording 4.88 runs per game (10th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 451 instances (29th in MLB) and had 519 hits.

The Washington pitching staff yielded 301 runs for the prior year while holding a team ERA of 5.10 (285 earned runs conceded). They allowed 94 dingers and they surrender 5.38 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Nationals held a team WHIP of 1.518 and had a FIP of 5.02 as a staff in the prior season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 2.35 (508 strikeouts against 216 free passes). They were ranked 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 548. Finishing with 22 save chances, the Nationals accrued 41 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Washington called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 64 save situations and they earned 12 saves. Their relievers took the field in 58 games with high leverage and 64 outings with runners on base. Washington bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of their 118 inherited base runners. They ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 54.5%, and they dispatched 202 relief pitchers onto the diamond last year.

Scherzer earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.0 with 92 total K's and an ERA+ of 118. He threw 67.1 innings last season while conceding 9.4 H/9. Scherzer allowed 70 base knocks while he conceded 28 earned runs (3.74 ERA). His WHIP was 1.38 and he held a FIP of 3.46 over the course of last year. During his MLB career, Scherzer has conceded 1,953 base hits and he has 2,784 strikeouts in 2,357 innings pitched. Scherzer (175-93 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.21 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 841 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.100 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.34 and he has gone up against 9,573 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+126)

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