New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-180) St. Louis (+166)

Busch Stadium is the site where Kwang Hyun Kim and the St. Louis Cardinals (16-12, 2nd in NL Central) will play the New York Mets (11-11, 1st in NL East) on Tuesday. The Cardinals open this matchup at +166 while the Mets are priced at -180. The total opens at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jacob deGrom and Kwang Hyun Kim.

As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 3.2 runs/g, which puts them at 29th in the league. They have 71 runs and hold an OBP of .322. The Mets have hit 31 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 17 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 67 RBI's and 170 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average is .241. New York has a slugging percentage of .364 and have struck out 188 times, while taking a walk on 69 occasions.

The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.11 for the season (5th in MLB), and they have struck out 228 batters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.80 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.08. Mets pitchers have surrendered 13 home runs in addition to 83 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 60 batters and their FIP comes in at 2.63 as a team on the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 13 times in addition to having 19 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 4 holds over the course of the season (30th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. They have recorded 4 saves this season and have blown 3 out of their 7 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 25 runners this season and 36.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 63 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have accumulated 556 putouts thus far, as well as 186 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which is 25th in baseball, and they have twisted 144 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,668 innings on the field, which has them sitting 19th in baseball.

deGrom has thrown 1,204 innings and has earned 1,418 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 2.55 (341 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.033. He has surrendered 957 base knocks (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 288 walks. deGrom (72-53 career mark) has a FIP of 2.70 while he has faced 4,777 hitters in the major leagues.

St. Louis has compiled 36 HRs on the year as well as 121 runs batted in. They have tallied 38 doubles, while getting a free base 88 times as well as scoring 132 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied an OBP of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .227 this year. The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .394 and they score 4.71 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have struck out on 246 occasions (17th in the league) and have notched a total of 209 base hits.

The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 113 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.86 (106 earned runs conceded). They have given up 21 homers and they relinquish 4.12 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.251 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.86 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.19 (237 strikeouts vs 108 free passes). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 201.

St. Louis relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 42 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 16 times in high leverage situations and on 23 occasions with runners on base. With 24 save situations, the Cardinals have 14 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They sit at 6th in baseball holding a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 91 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 10 save opportunities and they have tallied 8 saves.

In 2,223 innings on the field, the Cardinals have a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (10th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (14th in baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 242 assists, 16 errors and have a total of 741 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Kim has given up 45 base knocks while he has totaled 40 strikeouts in 52 innings pitched. Kim (4-0 career mark) has a 2.05 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 12 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.101 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.08 and he has gone up against 213 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (+166)

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