New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, June 5, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-120) San Diego (+100)

Petco Park is the venue where Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (35-23, 2nd in NL West) will play the New York Mets (27-22, 1st in NL East) on Saturday. The Mets open this matchup at -120 while the Padres are priced at +100. The over/under opens at 5.5. The starting pitchers are Jacob deGrom and Joe Musgrove.

As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 3.7 runs per outing, which is 28th in MLB. They have a total of 182 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .313. The Mets have accounted for 62 doubles as a squad and have knocked 44 balls out of the park. They have recorded 173 RBI's as well as 366 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .233. New York has a slugging rate of .364 and have been rung up 409 times, while being walked on 161 occasions.

The Mets have an earned run average of 3.17 so far this season (2nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 459 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.33 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.14. Mets pitchers have allowed 35 home runs and also 177 runs (1st in the league). They have walked 138 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.14 as a unit for the year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 37 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 23 holds for the year (23rd in baseball). The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 58.3% and has come into the game in 47 save situations. They have compiled 14 saves this year and have blown 10 out of their 24 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners for the season with 37.9% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have dispatched 156 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Mets have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,753 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 15th in baseball. The New York Mets have accounted for 1,251 putouts this season, as well as 408 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them sitting 13th in MLB, and have a total of 319 double plays.

deGrom has thrown 1,220 frames and has 1,441 K's during his career. deGrom (74-53 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.68 and he has gone up against 4,833 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.53 (343 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.027. He has conceded 963 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 291 walks.

The Padres hold a team SLG% of .380 and they are recording 4.69 runs per game (10th in the league). They have recorded 77 doubles, while walking 229 times and putting up 272 runs. San Diego has tallied 60 home runs for the year to go along with 254 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 471 instances (23rd in MLB) and have accounted for 459 base knocks. The San Diego Padres have accumulated an on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .237 on the campaign.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.111 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a unit for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 (595 strikeouts against 184 walks). They rank 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 395. They have surrendered 63 HR's and they allow 3.39 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 196 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 2.85 (165 earned runs yielded).

San Diego has had relievers step onto the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have converted 21 saves. They are ranked 9th in the league with a save percentage of 67.7%, and they have sent 217 relievers to the hill this season. Their relievers have taken the field 63 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of 48 inherited base runners. With 65 save situations, the Padres have compiled 33 holds and 10 blown saves.

In their 4,692 innings on the field, the Padres are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (6th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have twisted 49 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .980 (27th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 492 assists, 41 errors and have accounted for 1,564 putouts this season.

Musgrove (33-42 career mark) has a 4.09 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.06 and he has faced 2,324 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 253 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Musgrove has given up 524 base hits and he has 544 K's in 557 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-120)

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