New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, June 4, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+155) San Diego (-200)

Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (34-23, 2nd in NL West) host the New York Mets (27-21, 1st in NL East) at Petco Park on Friday. The Mets open this contest at +155 while the Padres are priced at -200. The total is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Joey Lucchesi and Joe Musgrove.

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New York has a slugging % of .364 and have been called out on strikes 402 times, while being walked on 157 occasions. They have recorded 170 RBI's and 360 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate sits at .234. The Mets have accrued 62 doubles as a unit and have hit 43 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 179 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. As a squad, the New York Mets are knocking in 3.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 28th in the league.

The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.17 over the course of the season (3rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 454 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.39 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.13. Mets pitchers have conceded 34 long balls and 173 total runs (1st in the league). They have walked 134 batters and their FIP sits at 3.10 as a team on the year.

The Mets have sent 154 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners over the course of the season with 37.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 14 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 24 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 58.3% and has entered the game in 47 save situations. The relievers have notched 23 holds on the season (22nd in MLB). Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 37 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,681 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in MLB. The New York Mets are sitting with 1,227 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 398 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which is 11th in the majors, and they have turned 313 double plays.

Lucchesi has thrown 322 innings and has earned 335 strikeouts so far in his career. Lucchesi (19-23 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 1,366 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.38 (157 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.280. He has surrendered 304 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 109 free passes.

The Padres hold a team slugging % of .380 and they are recording 4.70 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have recorded 76 two-baggers, while walking 225 times as well as earning 268 runs. San Diego has compiled 59 home runs for the season as well as 251 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 466 occasions (22nd in the league) and have earned a total of 451 base hits. The San Diego Padres have accumulated an OBP of .322 and a team batting average of .237 so far this year.

The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.111 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.66 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.27 (588 strikeouts against 180 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 389. They have relinquished 62 dingers and they allow 3.39 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 193 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 2.85 (162 earned runs allowed).

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 25.5% out of 47 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 61 times in high leverage situations and on 36 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Padres have compiled 30 holds and 10 blown saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 213 relievers onto the field for the year. San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 30 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves.

In 4,611 innings on the diamond, the Padres have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (6th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 47 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (26th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 481 assists, 40 errors and have a total of 1,537 putouts during this campaign.

Musgrove (33-42 career record) holds a 4.09 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.06 and he has faced 2,324 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 253 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and having a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Musgrove has surrendered 524 base knocks while accumulating 544 strikeouts in 557 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-200)

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