New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, June 3, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+150) San Diego (-196)

Yu Darvish and the San Diego Padres (34-22, 2nd in NL West) host the New York Mets (26-21, 1st in NL East) at Petco Park on Thursday. The Mets open this game at +150 while the Padres are priced at -196. The total opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Taijuan Walker and Yu Darvish.

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New York is slugging .361 and have struck out 396 times, while drawing a walk on 156 occasions. They have accounted for 164 RBI's as well as 344 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .229. The Mets have accrued 61 two-baggers as a team and have hit 42 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 172 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .311. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in MLB.

The Mets hold a team ERA of 3.11 so far this season (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 450 hitters. They have walked 130 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.05 as a team for the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13. Mets pitchers have conceded 33 home runs and also 167 runs (1st in the league).

The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 59.1% and stepped onto the hill in 45 save situations. The relievers have inherited 56 runners for the year with 37.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 36 times and also have had 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 150 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have a total of 23 holds so far this season (21st in the league). They have recorded 13 saves this season and have missed out on 9 of their 22 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have earned a total of 1,200 putouts this year, in addition to 387 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them sitting 14th in MLB, and they have twisted 308 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,600 innings, which has them sitting 14th in baseball.

Walker (39-35 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.11 and he has gone up against 2,657 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 568 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 203 walks. His earned run average is 3.68 (258 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.223. Walker has taken the hill for 630 innings and has 577 punch outs during his MLB career.

San Diego has knocked in 59 home runs this season as well as 250 RBIs. They have notched 75 two-baggers, while getting a free base 221 times and racking up 267 runs. The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .238 on the year. The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .383 and they have an average of 4.77 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have been rung up on 456 occasions (24th in baseball) and have totaled 446 base knocks.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.105 and have a FIP of 3.66 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.26 (577 strikeouts vs 177 free passes). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 380. They have yielded 61 home runs and they allow 3.34 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 187 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 2.80 (157 earned runs relinquished).

San Diego has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have recorded 20 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 209 relievers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 60 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.2% of 45 inherited runners. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Padres have earned 30 holds and 10 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have twisted 46 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (26th in MLB). The Padres have 472 assists, 38 errors and have accounted for 1,513 putouts so far this year. In 4,539 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (5th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Darvish has allowed 955 base knocks while he has tallied 1,471 strikeouts in 1,193 frames. He has surrendered a total of 450 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.147 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.55 and he has gone up against 4,915 batters so far in his MLB career. Darvish (76-57 mark in his career) has earned a 3.39 ERA and has conceded 7.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-196)

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