New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, September 26, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+150) Milwaukee (-208)

American Family Field is the venue where Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers (92-62, 1st in NL Central) will take on the New York Mets (73-80, 3rd in NL East) on Sunday. The Brewers open this contest at -208 while the Mets are priced at +150. The O/U opens at 8. The starting pitchers will be Carlos Carrasco and Freddy Peralta.

The Mets have accounted for 213 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 167 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging rate of .390 and have struck out 1,313 times, while being walked on 472 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are earning 3.9 runs per contest, which has them at 28th in the league. They have recorded 570 runs batted in in addition to 1,175 hits for the year, while their team batting average is at .239. They have accumulated 601 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .315.

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Mets pitchers have yielded 181 home runs and also 635 total runs (9th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 444 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.04 as a team on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.91 for the year (8th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,371 batters.

Mets pitchers have entered the game with runners on 128 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 70 holds this year (19th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 58.2% and stepped onto the hill in 139 save situations. They have accumulated 39 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 28 of 67 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 189 runners over the course of the season with 32.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Mets have dispatched 512 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The New York Mets have earned 3,913 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,242 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 24th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 1,002 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 11,739 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 17th in baseball.

Carrasco (89-76 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.46 while he has faced 5,306 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,210 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 333 free passes. His earned run average is 3.82 (546 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.199. Carrasco has pitched in 1,287 innings and has totaled 1,347 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.59 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have put up 241 two-baggers, while walking 560 times and notching 707 runs. Milwaukee has accounted for 188 HRs on the season as well as 671 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,387 occasions (9th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,190 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .234 for the year.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 582 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.41 (518 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 154 dingers and they allow 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.178 in addition to having a FIP of 3.65 as a unit for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.00 (1,556 strikeouts against 518 walks). They rank 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,095.

Sitting with 148 save situations, the Brewers have 76 holds and also 27 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 70 save chances and they have come away with 43 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 184 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 35.6% of 146 inherited runners. They are ranked 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.4%, and they have dispatched 507 relievers to the mound this year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 97 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,270 assists, 93 errors and have 4,107 putouts for the season. Out of their 12,321 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 237 hits while he has earned 448 punch outs in 331 innings. He has conceded a total of 141 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.149 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.11 and he has faced 1,385 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Peralta (25-13 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.83 ERA while allowing 6.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+150)

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