New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, May 21, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-116) Miami (+107)

Marlins Park is the venue where Pablo Lopez and the Miami Marlins (19-23, 4th in NL East) will play the New York Mets (20-17, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The Marlins open this game at +107 while the Mets are coming in at -116. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Marcus Stroman and Pablo Lopez.

The Mets have tallied 45 two-baggers as a team and have hit 29 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .352 and have been rung up 303 times, while drawing a walk on 128 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are earning 3.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 29th in the league. They have 120 RBI's and 268 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .233. They have racked up 126 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319.

Mets pitchers have yielded 25 home runs and also 133 total runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 97 hitters and their FIP is 3.05 as a team so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.51 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.13. The Mets have a team ERA of 3.23 for the season (3rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 340 hitters.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 25 times and also have had 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 14 holds on the season (26th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 64.3% and has entered the game in 28 save situations. They have compiled 9 saves this season and have blown 5 of their 14 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 base runners for the year and 40.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 112 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Mets have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,736 innings on the field, which has them ranked 17th in baseball. The New York Mets have earned 912 putouts on the year, as well as 286 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them sitting 23rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 246 double plays.

Stroman has taken the mound for 895 innings and has accounted for 730 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Stroman (54-51 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.66 while facing 3,736 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.71 (369 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.279. He has surrendered 892 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 254 walks.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .367 and they score 3.93 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have hit 59 two-baggers, while taking a walk 112 times as well as notching 161 runs. Miami has knocked in 38 home runs this year and 154 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 407 occasions (7th in the league) and have accounted for 311 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an OBP of .294 in addition to a team batting average of .228 on the year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.213 in addition to having a FIP of 3.70 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.86 (352 strikeouts vs 123 bases on balls). They rank 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 314. They have conceded 36 home runs and they concede 4.02 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 161 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.67 (147 earned runs yielded).

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 18 save opportunities and they have tallied 7 saves. They are ranked 29th in MLB holding a save rate of 38.9%, and they have dispatched 154 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 29 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.8% out of their 49 inherited base runners. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 17 holds and 11 blown saves.

In 3,246 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (14th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in the majors). The Marlins have 348 assists, 25 errors and have accumulated 1,082 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Lopez has given up 262 base knocks while tallying 246 punch outs in 276 frames. He has given up a total of 130 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.234 and having a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.11 and he has faced 1,159 hitters during his MLB career. Lopez (14-19 mark in his career) has a 4.23 ERA and has conceded 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+107)

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