New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 8/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, August 20, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+165) Los Angeles (-217)

Dodger Stadium is the site where Max Scherzer and the Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46, 2nd in NL West) will play the New York Mets (60-60, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The Mets open this contest at +165 while the Dodgers are priced at -217. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Carlos Carrasco and Max Scherzer.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 28th in the league. They have accounted for 456 runs scored and hold an OBP of .312. The Mets have tallied 163 doubles as a squad and have hit 126 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 435 runs batted in as well as 897 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .235. New York is slugging .380 and have been called out on strikes 1,024 times, while being walked on 376 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.77 for the season (10th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,084 batters. They have walked 350 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a unit over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Mets pitchers have given up 137 long balls and 480 total runs (7th in the league).

The Mets relievers have earned a save percentage of 63.5% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 147 runners so far this year with 32.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 98 times in addition to having 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 390 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have tallied 51 holds this year (23rd in the league). They have accumulated 33 saves this season and have missed out on 19 of 52 chances to get a save.

The Mets have converted 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,147 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have notched a total of 3,049 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 969 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which is 10th in baseball, and they have twisted 772 double plays.

Carrasco has taken the hill for 1,253 innings and has totaled 1,317 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Carrasco (88-74 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.45 while he has gone up against 5,170 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.83 (533 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.202. He has surrendered 1,183 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 324 free passes.

The Dodgers hold a team SLG% of .429 and they are earning 5.24 runs per outing (3rd in the league). They have tallied 195 doubles, while getting a free base 479 times and scoring 634 runs. Los Angeles has hit 171 home runs this season to go along with 609 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,082 occasions (12th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,013 base hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting with an OBP of .336 as well as a batting average of .247 on the season.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.121 and have a FIP of 3.59 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 3.21 (1,211 strikeouts vs 377 walks). They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 832. They have surrendered 124 home runs and they give up 3.59 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 430 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.06 (367 earned runs conceded).

With 133 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 72 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 59 save chances and they have come away with 35 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 146 times in high leverage situations and on 124 occasions with base runners. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.7% out of 177 inherited runners. They rank 19th in MLB with a save rate of 59.3%, and they have dispatched 429 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 975 assists, 72 errors and have amassed 3,235 putouts so far this year. Out of their 9,705 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (2nd in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Scherzer has given up 2,036 hits while he has earned 2,954 strikeouts in 2,484 innings pitched. Scherzer (185-97 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.18 earned run average while conceding 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 879 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.090 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.40 and he has faced 10,067 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-217)

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