New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-147) Cincinnati (+115)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Jeff Hoffman and the Cincinnati Reds (48-46, 2nd in NL Central) will play the New York Mets (49-42, 1st in NL East) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Mets priced at -147 and the Reds are at +115. The over/under opens at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Marcus Stroman and Jeff Hoffman.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.9 runs per game, which ranks them 29th in baseball. They have a total of 357 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .314. The Mets have earned 118 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 100 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 343 RBI's as well as 670 hits on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .234. New York has a slugging rate of .384 and have been rung up 782 times, while taking a walk on 290 occasions.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 3.52 on the campaign (5th in baseball), and they have struck out 833 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Mets pitchers have allowed 90 home runs in addition to 348 runs (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 269 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a unit on the year.

The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 63.4% and has entered the game in 81 save situations. The relievers have inherited 110 runners on the season with 32.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 73 times and also have had 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 283 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen have racked up 39 holds on the year (26th in baseball). They have recorded 26 saves on the year and have blown 15 out of their 41 chances to save the game.

The Mets have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,897 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in MLB. The New York Mets have earned a total of 2,299 putouts on the year, as well as 734 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which has them ranked 21st in baseball, and have a total of 577 double plays.

Stroman has taken the mound for 952 innings and has accounted for 781 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.66 (387 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.275. He has given up 946 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 269 walks. Stroman (57-55 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 3,972 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Reds have a SLG% of .411 and they score 4.85 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have hit 160 doubles, while taking a walk 325 times and scoring 456 runs. Cincinnati has 115 HRs this season and 434 RBIs. They have struck out on 842 occasions (12th in MLB) and have a total of 786 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a batting average of .247 this year.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.385 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.36 (912 strikeouts vs 386 walks). They rank 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 775. They have surrendered 121 long balls and they relinquish 5.03 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 468 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.56 (425 earned runs allowed).

With 86 save situations, the Reds have accrued 39 holds and 19 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to enter the contest in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 26 saves. Their relievers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 111 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.8% of 159 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league with a save rate of 57.8%, and they have sent 347 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 62 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (19th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 823 assists, 58 errors and have amassed 2,516 putouts so far this season. Out of their 7,548 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (23rd in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Hoffman has allowed 305 hits while earning 236 punch outs in 271 innings. Hoffman (13-20 record in his career) has earned a 6.13 earned run average and has conceded 10.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 185 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.616 and a FIP of 5.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.76 and he has faced 1,238 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+115)

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