New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, July 20, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+115) Cincinnati (-147)

Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (48-45, 2nd in NL Central) play the New York Mets (48-42, 1st in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The Mets open this game at +115 while the Reds are coming in at -147. The O/U has been set at 10. The starting pitchers will be Robert Stock and Wade Miley.

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New York is slugging .376 and have been rung up 772 times, while drawing a walk on 287 occasions. They have recorded 328 RBI's and 652 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average sits at .231. The Mets have hit 117 doubles as a unit and have hit 93 balls out of the park. They have racked up 342 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in MLB.

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Mets pitchers have relinquished 90 home runs and 337 runs (2nd in baseball). They have walked 265 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.73 as a team so far this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19. The Mets have an ERA of 3.53 for the season (6th in baseball), and they have rung up 822 hitters.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 69 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 39 holds on the year (25th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 65.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 78 save situations. They have accumulated 25 saves on the season and have blown 13 of 38 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 106 runners so far this season and 33.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 277 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The New York Mets have accounted for 2,266 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 722 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 14th in the majors, and they have turned 572 double plays. The Mets have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,798 innings on the diamond, ranking them 11th in MLB.

Stock has taken the ball for 71 innings and has earned 75 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.65 (37 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.591. He has allowed 75 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) with 39 free passes. Stock (2-4 career record) has a FIP of 3.79 while going up against 323 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .328 as well as a team batting average of .246 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 831 occasions (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 770 base hits. Cincinnati is sitting with 115 home runs this year to go along with 424 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .411 and they average 4.78 runs per game (11th in the league). They have hit 155 doubles, while walking 321 times and recording 445 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.379 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a staff this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.36 (902 strikeouts against 383 bases on balls). They sit at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 758. They have conceded 114 home runs and they concede 4.93 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 453 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.48 (412 earned runs surrendered).

Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 44 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. They sit at 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 340 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 113 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.6% out of 155 inherited runners. With 85 save situations, the Reds have 39 holds and 18 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 60 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (20th in the majors). The Reds have racked up 812 assists, 58 errors and have earned a total of 2,483 putouts so far this year. In 7,449 innings on the field, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in baseball).

In his career, Miley has surrendered 1,552 base hits while he has earned 1,203 strikeouts in 1,514 frames. He has given up a total of 698 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.372 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.29 and he has faced 6,491 hitters so far in his MLB career. Miley (92-89 career mark) has a 4.15 earned run average and has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-147)

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