New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, September 22, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+145) Boston (-192)

Tylor Megill and the New York Mets (73-77, 3rd in NL East) head to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (86-65, 2nd in AL East). The Mets open this matchup at +145 while the Red Sox are coming in at -192. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tylor Megill and Chris Sale.

The Mets have earned 210 doubles as a team and have smacked 165 balls out of the stadium. New York is slugging .391 and have been rung up 1,282 times, while being walked on 462 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB. They have earned 561 runs batted in in addition to 1,152 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is at .239. They have earned a total of 592 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 3.84 over the course of the season (8th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,351 hitters. They have walked 432 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a squad so far this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Mets pitchers have given up 174 home runs in addition to 612 runs (6th in baseball).

The Mets have dispatched 502 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 187 base runners on the season with 32.1% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 39 saves so far this season and have blown 28 out of their 67 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 58.2% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 70 holds on the season (18th in the league). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 127 times and also have had 167 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accumulated 3,841 putouts this year, as well as 1,218 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 23rd in the majors, and have accumulated 979 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,523 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 17th in professional baseball.

Megill has pitched in 80 innings and has earned 91 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.57 (41 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.289. He has given up 82 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 22 walks. Megill (3-5 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.37 and he has faced 342 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .261 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,293 occasions (16th in baseball) and have tallied 1,338 base knocks. Boston has knocked in 201 home runs on the season as well as 735 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .448 and they average 5.14 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have 314 doubles, while getting a free base 474 times as well as notching 776 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.379 and have a FIP of 3.97 as a unit on the season. They are currently ranked 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,318. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 702 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.25 (625 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.80 (1,412 strikeouts against 505 walks). They have surrendered 165 home runs and they relinquish 4.78 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of 252 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 165 occasions with runners on base. With 160 save situations, the Red Sox have 85 holds and 24 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have sent 517 relievers to the mound on the year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 70 save chances and they have walked away with 46 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 134 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 1,331 assists, 104 errors and have a tally of 3,966 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 11,898 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 65.8% (30th in pro baseball).

During his career, Sale has surrendered 1,343 base hits while accumulating 2,038 punch outs in 1,659 innings pitched. Sale (113-73 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.02 ERA while allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 556 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.038 and a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 5.36 and he has gone up against 6,670 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+145)

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