New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, May 19, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+100) Atlanta (-125)

David Peterson and the New York Mets (19-16, 1st in NL East) travel to Truist Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (19-22, 3rd in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Mets coming in at +100 and the Braves are at -125. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be David Peterson and Charlie Morton.

New York has a slugging percentage of .348 and have been called out on strikes 295 times, while taking a walk on 127 occasions. They have 116 runs batted in and 260 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is at .232. The Mets have tallied 43 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 27 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 122 runs while holding a team OBP of .320. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 3.5 runs per outing, which has them at 29th in the league.

The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.23 for the year (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 325 batters. They have walked 94 batters and their FIP is 3.02 as a unit on the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.13. Mets pitchers have allowed 23 home runs and also 130 runs in total (1st in MLB).

Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 24 times and also have had 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 11 holds for the season (27th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 23 save situations. They have 8 saves for the year and have not converted 4 of their 12 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 43 base runners over the course of the season and 39.5% of those players crossed the plate. The Mets have dispatched 106 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Mets have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,655 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB. The New York Mets have amassed 885 putouts thus far, in addition to 279 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which ranks 24th in baseball, and they have twisted 238 double plays.

Peterson has taken the mound for 83 innings and has accumulated 81 punch outs so far in his career. Peterson (7-5 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.45 and he has gone up against 344 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.01 (37 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.229. He has allowed 65 base hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 37 free passes.

Atlanta has recorded 60 long balls for the season as well as 182 RBIs. They have recorded 57 two-baggers, while getting a free base 143 times as well as recording 188 runs. The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .310 as well as a team batting average of .226 on the season. The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .413 and they score 4.59 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 372 occasions (12th in baseball) and have notched a total of 303 base hits.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.406 in addition to having a FIP of 4.46 as a pitching staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.42 (378 strikeouts vs 156 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 349. They have allowed 54 homers and they give up 5.14 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 205 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.61 (184 earned runs surrendered).

Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. They sit at 19th in baseball holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 153 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 68 times in high leverage situations and also on 41 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of their 62 inherited runners. Sitting with 41 save situations, the Braves have tallied 26 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

Out of their 3,234 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (25th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have twisted 26 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (5th in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 372 assists, 20 errors and are sitting with 1,078 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Morton has conceded 1,442 base knocks and he has 1,320 K's in 1,478 innings pitched. Morton (95-91 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.11 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 675 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.337 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and he has gone up against 6,374 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-125)

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