New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Atlanta (-141)

Jesse Chavez and the Atlanta Braves (86-72, 1st in NL East) play the New York Mets (76-83, 3rd in NL East) at Truist Park on Saturday. The Braves open this game at -141 while the Mets are priced at +110. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Trevor Williams and Jesse Chavez.

The Mets have recorded 224 doubles as a unit and have hit 173 balls out of the stadium. New York is slugging .390 and have been rung up 1,367 times, while being walked on 488 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are earning 3.9 runs per contest, which has them at 27th in the league. They have tallied 595 runs batted in as well as 1,220 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .239. They have accumulated 627 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .315.

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Mets pitchers have surrendered 185 long balls and 654 runs in total (9th in baseball). They have walked 468 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.01 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.05 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.87 on the year (8th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,427 batters.

The Mets have dispatched 533 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 193 runners this season and 34.2% of them ended up scoring. They have 40 saves so far this year and have blown 29 of their 69 save chances. The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 58.0% and has come into the game in 145 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 74 holds this season (17th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 132 times and also have had 173 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 12,189 innings on the field, which ranks them 16th in MLB. The New York Mets have earned 4,063 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,289 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which puts them in 26th in baseball, and they have twisted 1,046 double plays.

Williams has thrown 620 innings and is sitting with 501 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 4.41 (304 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.361. He has surrendered 639 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 206 free passes. Williams (35-39 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.49 and he has faced 2,676 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .435 and they are recording 4.91 runs per game (7th in the league). They have recorded 264 doubles, while taking a walk 542 times as well as earning 776 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 234 long balls over the course of the season as well as 748 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,427 occasions (10th in the league) and have earned 1,283 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have earned an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .244 so far this season.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a staff on the campaign. They come in at 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,214. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 647 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.90 (599 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 (1,392 strikeouts against 509 bases on balls). They have relinquished 180 dingers and they relinquish 4.21 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league).

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% of 183 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 220 times in high leverage situations and also on 127 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 178 save situations, the Braves have earned 112 holds and 26 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 567 relievers onto the field so far this year. Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 65 save opportunities and they have converted 39 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 99 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have racked up 1,449 assists, 69 errors and have amassed 4,151 putouts over the course of the season. In their 12,453 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in the majors).

During his career, Chavez has allowed 987 base knocks while he has earned 866 K's in 964 innings. He has conceded a total of 477 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.341 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and he has gone up against 4,128 hitters in his MLB career. Chavez (44-60 record in his career) has a 4.45 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-141)

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