New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+145) Atlanta (-185)

Huascar Ynoa and the Atlanta Braves (85-72, 1st in NL East) play the New York Mets (75-83, 3rd in NL East) at Truist Park on Friday. The Braves open this game at -185 while the Mets are coming in at +145. The O/U is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Noah Syndergaard and Huascar Ynoa.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which has them at 27th in the league. They have earned 615 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .314. The Mets have tallied 221 doubles as a team and have smacked 170 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 583 runs batted in and 1,210 hits so far this year, while their batting average is at .238. New York is slugging .388 and have struck out 1,361 times, while taking a walk on 481 occasions.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.89 for the season (8th in the league), and they have struck out 1,415 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Mets pitchers have allowed 184 long balls in addition to 651 runs (9th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 463 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a unit this season.

The Mets have sent 529 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 193 runners this year and 34.2% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 40 saves for the year and have blown 29 out of their 69 chances to save the game. The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 58.0% and has entered the game in 142 save situations. The bullpen have notched 71 holds on the year (20th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 132 times and also have had 173 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,108 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in the majors. The New York Mets have earned 4,036 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,286 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which is 24th in MLB, and they have twisted 1,038 double plays.

Syndergaard has taken the mound for 717 innings and has 777 strikeouts thus far in his career. Syndergaard (47-30 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.91 while he has faced 2,943 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.30 (263 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.159. He has conceded 665 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 166 walks.

Atlanta has a total of 232 HRs so far this season and 743 RBIs. They have put up 263 two-baggers, while walking 540 times and putting up 771 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .244 over the course of the season. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .434 and they average 4.91 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,413 occasions (11th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,277 hits.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.248 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.07 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.74 (1,387 strikeouts against 506 free passes). They sit at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,209. They have conceded 178 dingers and they surrender 4.22 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 644 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.90 (596 earned runs allowed).

Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 64 save opportunities and they have tallied 38 saves. They are ranked 20th in MLB holding a save rate of 59.4%, and they have dispatched 564 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 218 times in high leverage situations and also on 127 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 183 inherited runners. With 175 save situations, the Braves have accrued 110 holds and 26 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 99 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have racked up 1,439 assists, 69 errors and have accumulated 4,124 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,372 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (6th in the majors).

Ynoa (4-5 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.72 earned run average and has conceded 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.08 and he has gone up against 466 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has conceded a total of 58 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.229 and having a FIP of 4.2. Thus far in his career, Ynoa has conceded 99 base hits and he has 114 strikeouts in 110 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-185)

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